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⚽ Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Angers Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Le Havre vs Angers in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Le Havre face Angers in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Le Havre have 1 win from their last 5, while Angers have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Le Havre won 1, Angers won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Le Havre win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.1-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Le Havre vs Angers with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.8% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 7.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Le Havre vs Angers is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 83%. On the match result, the model rates a Le Havre win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points no (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.73 (+10.5% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Le Havre and Angers. Wins shown from Le Havre’s perspective: Le Havre 1 · 2 drawn · Angers 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Angers | 1 – 1 | Le Havre | D |
| 2026-01-04 | Le Havre | 2 – 1 | Angers | W |
| 2025-02-02 | Angers | 1 – 1 | Le Havre | D |
| 2024-12-01 | Le Havre | 0 – 1 | Angers | L |
📈 Recent form
Le Havre come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Le Mans. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Stade Brestois 29.
- LLe Havre 1-2 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
- DLyon 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1
- LLe Havre 0-1 MonacoLigue 1
- WLe Mans 0-1 Le HavreFriendlies Clubs
- LIpswich 1-0 Le HavreFriendlies Clubs
Angers come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Auxerre. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Rennes.
- LAngers 1-2 RennesLigue 1
- WAuxerre 1-3 AngersLigue 1
- LAngers 0-2 LilleLigue 1
- WAngers 3-2 Paris FCFriendlies Clubs
- WAngers 2-1 LorientFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- P. ArgneyInjury
- F. MambimbiInjury
- L. Mpasi-NzauInjury
- J. MwangaSuspended (red card)
- R. NdiayeGroin Injury
- T. PembeleNot in squad
- A. ToureKnee Injury
- S. ZagadouInjury
- H. BelkeblaThigh Injury
- L. MoutonKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Le Havre at 37% to win and Angers at 32%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Le Havre win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 32% | @ 3.20 | +1.0% |
| Le Havre Win | 37% | @ 2.55 | -6.0% |
| Angers Win | 32% | @ 2.88 | -9.1% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Le Havre or Draw at 1.40 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre or Draw | 66% | @ 1.40 | -7.8% |
| Angers or Draw | 61% | @ 1.50 | -9.2% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 64% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 37% | @ 3.40 | +25.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | @ 1.73 | +10.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 83% | @ 1.28 | +6.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | @ 1.33 | -16.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | @ 2.10 | -24.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | @ 3.75 | -36.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 56% | @ 1.95 | +10.2% |
| BTTS Yes | 44% | @ 1.80 | -21.7% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Le Havre vs Angers?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 83% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.73 (+10.5% value).
Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Angers?
Our model makes a Le Havre win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.0 scoreline for Le Havre vs Angers.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Angers?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.12 for Le Havre and 1.02 for Angers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Le Havre and Angers play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
