⚽ Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Brest Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Le Havre vs Brest in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Le Havre 1-2 Brest
Le Havre vs Brest finished 1-2. Brest won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Le Havre face Brest in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Le Havre have 1 win from their last 5, while Brest have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Le Havre won 1, Brest won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Brest win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.3-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Le Havre vs Brest with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Le Havre vs Brest comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Brest win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Le Havre and Brest. Wins shown from Le Havre’s perspective: Le Havre 1 · Brest 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Le Havre | 1 – 2 | Brest | L |
| 2026-03-08 | Brest | 2 – 0 | Le Havre | L |
| 2025-10-29 | Le Havre | 1 – 0 | Brest | W |
| 2025-01-26 | Le Havre | 0 – 1 | Brest | L |
| 2024-10-06 | Brest | 2 – 0 | Le Havre | L |
📈 Recent form
Le Havre come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Toulouse.
- LToulouse 3-2 Le HavreLigue 1
- DLe Havre 0-0 AngersLigue 1
- LLe Havre 1-2 BrestLigue 1
- DLyon 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1
- LLe Havre 0-1 MonacoLigue 1
Brest come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Le Havre. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Auxerre.
- LAuxerre 2-1 BrestLigue 1
- LBrest 0-1 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
- WLe Havre 1-2 BrestLigue 1
- DBrest 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1
- DLe Mans 2-2 BrestLigue 1
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- P. ArgneyInjury
- F. MambimbiInjury
- A. ToureKnee Injury
- S. ZagadouInjury
- R. CagnonShoulder Injury
- B. ChardonnetCalf Injury
- M. DiambouAnkle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Le Havre at 33% to win and Brest at 36%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Brest win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest Win | 36% | 35% | @ 2.65 |
| Le Havre Win | 33% | 36% | @ 2.55 |
| Draw | 31% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brest or Draw at 1.49 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest or Draw | 65% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Le Havre or Draw | 62% | 65% | @ 1.45 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| Under 3.5 | 72% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 54% | @ 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 46% | @ 2.04 |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 25% | 29% | @ 3.30 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 53% | @ 1.76 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 47% | @ 1.97 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Le Havre or Brest is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest +1.75 | 87% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Brest +1.5 | 85% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Le Havre +1.5 | 83% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Brest +1.25 | 80% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Le Havre +1.25 | 78% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Brest +1 | 75% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Le Havre +1 | 72% | – | 1.19 |
| Brest +0.75 | 70% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Le Havre +0.75 | 67% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Brest +0.5 | 65% | 63% | 1.51 |
| Le Havre +0.5 | 62% | 65% | 1.48 |
| Brest +0.25 | 58% | 57% | 1.67 |
| Le Havre +0.25 | 55% | 59% | 1.61 |
| Brest 0 | 51% | 49% | @ 1.99 |
| Le Havre 0 | 49% | 51% | 1.89 |
| Brest -0.25 | 45% | 41% | @ 2.35 |
| Le Havre -0.25 | 42% | 43% | 2.24 |
| Brest -0.5 | 38% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Le Havre -0.5 | 35% | 37% | 2.58 |
| Brest -0.75 | 33% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Le Havre -0.75 | 30% | 30% | 3.19 |
| Le Havre -1 | 25% | 21% | @ 4.54 |
| Brest -1.25 | 22% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Le Havre -1.25 | 20% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Brest -1.5 | 17% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Le Havre -1.5 | 15% | 17% | 5.50 |
| Le Havre -1.75 | 13% | 14% | 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Le Havre vs Brest?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.
Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Brest?
Our model makes a Brest win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline for Le Havre vs Brest.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Brest?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for Le Havre and 1.40 for Brest. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Le Havre and Brest play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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