⚽ Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Le Havre face Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Le Havre have 1 win from their last 5, while Stade Brestois 29 have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Le Havre won 1, Stade Brestois 29 won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Stade Brestois 29 win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.3-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.32

75%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.27 – 1.40 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	9.7%	6.8%	3.2%	1.1%
1	8.8%	12.3%	8.6%	4.0%	1.4%
2	5.6%	7.8%	5.5%	2.6%	0.9%
3	2.4%	3.3%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.8%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Le Havre winDrawStade Brestois 29 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Stade Brestois 29 win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

Best value

Over 1.5 at odds 1.32, 75% model probability, -1.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Le Havre 33%Draw 31%Stade Brestois 29 36%

33%31%36%

36%

Stade Brestois 29 Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

-1.5%

Best value: Over 1.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Le Havre and Stade Brestois 29. Wins shown from Le Havre’s perspective: Le Havre 1 · Stade Brestois 29 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-08	Stade Brestois 29	2 – 0	Le Havre	L
2025-10-29	Le Havre	1 – 0	Stade Brestois 29	W
2025-01-26	Le Havre	0 – 1	Stade Brestois 29	L
2024-10-06	Stade Brestois 29	2 – 0	Le Havre	L
2024-03-03	Stade Brestois 29	1 – 0	Le Havre	L

📈 Recent form

Le Havre

Le Havre come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Le Mans. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Monaco.

DLyon 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1
LLe Havre 0-1 MonacoLigue 1
WLe Mans 0-1 Le HavreFriendlies Clubs
LIpswich 1-0 Le HavreFriendlies Clubs
DLe Havre 1-1 LavalFriendlies Clubs

Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Stade Briochin. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Nottingham Forest.

DStade Brestois 29 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
LNottingham Forest 2-0 Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs
DStade Brestois 29 2-2 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs
WStade Briochin 1-2 Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Le Havre

P. ArgneyInjury
F. MambimbiInjury
A. ToureKnee Injury
S. ZagadouInjury

Stade Brestois 29

R. CagnonShoulder Injury
B. ChardonnetCalf Injury
M. DiambouAnkle Injury
J. BourgaultKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Le Havre at 33% to win and Stade Brestois 29 at 36%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Stade Brestois 29 win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	31%	@ 3.25	-0.2%
Stade Brestois 29 Win	36%	@ 2.65	-4.4%
Le Havre Win	33%	@ 2.55	-15.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Stade Brestois 29 or Draw at 1.49 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Stade Brestois 29 or Draw	65%	@ 1.49	-3.7%
Le Havre or Draw	62%	@ 1.45	-10.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	28%	@ 3.70	+3.3%
Over 2.5	50%	@ 2.04	+1.8%
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.32	-1.5%
Under 3.5	72%	@ 1.26	-9.2%
Under 2.5	50%	@ 1.77	-11.3%
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.30	-16.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	55%	@ 1.76	-3.8%
BTTS No	45%	@ 1.97	-10.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	41%
Dixon-Coles	Away	38%
GradientBoosting	Away	34%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.27 for the home side, 1.33 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with 75% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29?

Our model makes a Stade Brestois 29 win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline for Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29.

What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for Le Havre and 1.40 for Stade Brestois 29. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Le Havre and Stade Brestois 29 play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.