⚽ La Liga

Levante vs Athletic Club Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Levante vs Athletic Club in the La Liga. Kick-off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Levante face Athletic Club in the La Liga, kicking off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Levante have 1 win from their last 4, while Athletic Club have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Club won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Levante win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Levante vs Athletic Club with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

79%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.44 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	7.8%	5.6%	2.7%	1.0%
1	8.0%	11.5%	8.3%	4.0%	1.4%
2	5.9%	8.5%	6.1%	2.9%	1.1%
3	2.9%	4.2%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.1%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Levante winDrawAthletic Club win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Levante vs Athletic Club is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Levante win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (58%). Separately, the biggest gap between our model and the bookmaker price is Levante or Draw at odds 1.70 (+8.6% model edge).

Largest model edge

Levante or Draw at odds 1.70, 64% model probability, +8.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Levante 36%Draw 30%Athletic Club 34%

36%30%34%

36%

Levante Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

+8.6%

Model edge: Levante or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Levante and Athletic Club. Wins shown from Levante’s perspective: Athletic Club 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-08	Athletic Club	4 – 2	Levante	L
2025-11-29	Levante	0 – 2	Athletic Club	L

📈 Recent form

Levante

Levante come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Real Betis. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at home to Barcelona.

LLevante 2-4 BarcelonaLa Liga
DMálaga 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
WLevante 5-2 Real BetisLa Liga
DOsasuna 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
LEspanyol 3-0 LevanteLa Liga

Athletic Club

Athletic Club come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Atlético Madrid. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Barcelona.

DAthletic Club 1-1 ElcheLa Liga
WAthletic Club 3-0 Atlético MadridLa Liga
WCelta Vigo 0-2 Athletic ClubLa Liga
LBarcelona 2-0 Athletic ClubLa Liga
LAthletic Club 1-3 SevillaLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Levante

K. Etta EyongInjury
A. PrimoShoulder Injury
H. SoteloKnee Injury

Athletic Club

U. EgiluzKnee Injury
D. VivianHamstring Injury
P. CanalesMuscle Injury
G. GuruzetaHamstring Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Levante at 36% to win and Athletic Club at 34%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Levante win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Levante Win	36%	@ 3.40	+21.9%
Draw	30%	@ 3.50	+3.8%
Athletic Club Win	34%	@ 2.10	-27.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levante or Draw at 1.70 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Levante or Draw	64%	@ 1.70	+8.6%
Athletic Club or Draw	62%	@ 1.30	-18.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	56%	@ 1.80	+0.1%
Over 3.5	33%	@ 3.00	-0.2%
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.25	-1.6%
Under 3.5	67%	@ 1.40	-6.6%
Under 2.5	44%	@ 2.00	-11.3%
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.00	-14.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	58%	@ 1.67	-2.3%
BTTS No	42%	@ 2.10	-12.9%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	38%
Dixon-Coles	Home	39%
GradientBoosting	Home	34%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.31 for the home side, 1.28 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Levante vs Athletic Club?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. The biggest separate model edge is Levante or Draw at 1.70 (+8.6% model edge).

Who is the favourite for Levante vs Athletic Club?

Our model makes a Levante win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for Levante vs Athletic Club.

What is the predicted score for Levante vs Athletic Club?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for Levante and 1.44 for Athletic Club. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Levante and Athletic Club play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.