Sun 13 Sep2-4Finished

⚽ La Liga

Levante vs Barcelona Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Levante vs Barcelona in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Levante 2-4 Barcelona

Levante vs Barcelona finished 2-4. Barcelona won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.30, landed.

Levante face Barcelona in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Levante have 1 win from their last 4, while Barcelona have 4 wins from their last 4. In their last 3 meetings, Barcelona won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Barcelona win the most likely result at 74%, projecting a 1.2-2.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Levante vs Barcelona with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.30

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.22 – 2.70 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.0%	5.4%	7.2%	6.5%	4.4%
1	2.4%	6.5%	8.8%	7.9%	5.4%
2	1.5%	4.0%	5.4%	4.8%	3.3%
3	0.6%	1.6%	2.2%	2.0%	1.3%
4	0.2%	0.5%	0.7%	0.6%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-2

Levante winDrawBarcelona win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Levante vs Barcelona comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Barcelona win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 74%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

Levante 11%Draw 15%Barcelona 74%

11%15%74%

74%

Barcelona Win

75%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Levante and Barcelona. Wins shown from Levante’s perspective: Barcelona 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-13	Levante	2 – 4	Barcelona	L
2026-02-22	Barcelona	3 – 0	Levante	L
2025-08-23	Levante	2 – 3	Barcelona	L

📈 Recent form

Levante

Levante come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Real Betis. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Villarreal.

LVillarreal 3-1 LevanteLa Liga
LLevante 2-4 BarcelonaLa Liga
DMálaga 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
WLevante 5-2 Real BetisLa Liga
DOsasuna 0-0 LevanteLa Liga

Barcelona

Barcelona come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 24 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-2 at home to Racing Santander. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSevilla 1-3 BarcelonaLa Liga
WBarcelona 7-2 Racing SantanderLa Liga
WLevante 2-4 BarcelonaLa Liga
WBarcelona 5-1 FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
WValencia 0-5 BarcelonaLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Levante

K. Etta EyongInjury
A. PrimoShoulder Injury

Barcelona

R. BardghjiKnee Injury
F. de JongKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Levante at 11% to win and Barcelona at 74%, with the draw at 15%. Our model makes a Barcelona win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Barcelona Win	74%	76%	@ 1.23
Draw	15%	13%	@ 7.00
Levante Win	11%	10%	@ 9.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Barcelona or Draw at 1.05 (90% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Barcelona or Draw	90%	90%	@ 1.05
Levante or Draw	27%	24%	@ 3.65

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	90%	88%	@ 1.07
Over 2.5	75%	72%	@ 1.30
Over 3.5	55%	52%	@ 1.78
Under 3.5	45%	48%	@ 1.90
Under 2.5	25%	28%	@ 3.35
Under 1.5	10%	12%	@ 7.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	56%	@ 1.63
BTTS No	35%	44%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Levante or Barcelona is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Barcelona +0.5	90%	86%	1.10
Barcelona +0.25	86%	85%	1.12
Barcelona 0	82%	83%	1.14
Barcelona -0.25	77%	–	1.20
Barcelona -0.5	73%	–	1.25
Barcelona -0.75	67%	–	1.23
Barcelona -1	61%	–	1.22
Levante +2	61%	41%	@ 2.33
Levante +1.75	56%	36%	@ 2.62
Barcelona -1.25	56%	73%	1.29
Levante +1.5	50%	33%	@ 2.90
Barcelona -1.5	50%	67%	1.41
Levante +1.25	44%	27%	@ 3.55
Barcelona -1.75	44%	64%	1.49
Barcelona -2	39%	59%	1.61
Levante 0	18%	17%	@ 5.75
Levante -0.25	14%	15%	6.40
Levante -0.5	10%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Levante 6%Draw 11%Barcelona 83%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Levante vs Barcelona?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Levante vs Barcelona?

Our model makes a Barcelona win the most likely result at 74%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.7 scoreline for Levante vs Barcelona.

What is the predicted score for Levante vs Barcelona?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.22 for Levante and 2.70 for Barcelona. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Levante and Barcelona play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.