LevantevsBarcelona

⚽ La Liga

Levante vs Barcelona Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Levante vs Barcelona in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Levante face Barcelona in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Levante have 1 win from their last 4, while Barcelona have 4 wins from their last 4. In their last 2 meetings, Barcelona won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Barcelona win the most likely result at 73%, projecting a 1.2-2.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Levante vs Barcelona with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.30
74%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.25 – 2.64 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.0% 5.4% 7.1% 6.3% 4.1%
1 2.6% 6.7% 8.9% 7.8% 5.2%
2 1.6% 4.2% 5.6% 4.9% 3.2%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 1.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
Projected score: 1-2
Levante winDrawBarcelona win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Levante vs Barcelona is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates a Barcelona win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 73%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (66%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams to score at odds 1.63 (+7.4% model value).

Best value
BTTS Yes at odds 1.63, 66% model probability, +7.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Levante 11%Draw 15%Barcelona 73%
11%15%73%
73%
Barcelona Win
74%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
BTTS yes
+7.4%
Best value: BTTS Yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Levante and Barcelona. Wins shown from Levante’s perspective: Barcelona 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-02-22 Barcelona 3 – 0 Levante L
2025-08-23 Levante 2 – 3 Barcelona L

📈 Recent form

Levante

Levante come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Real Betis. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Espanyol.

  • DMalaga 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
  • WLevante 5-2 Real BetisLa Liga
  • DOsasuna 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
  • LEspanyol 3-0 LevanteLa Liga
  • WCastellón 1-3 LevanteFriendlies Clubs
Barcelona

Barcelona come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 22 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Valencia. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WBarcelona 5-1 FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
  • WValencia 0-5 BarcelonaLa Liga
  • WBarcelona 5-2 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
  • WBarcelona 2-0 Athletic ClubLa Liga
  • WElche 0-5 BarcelonaLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Levante
  • K. Etta EyongInjury
  • A. PrimoShoulder Injury
Barcelona
  • R. BardghjiKnee Injury
  • F. de JongKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Levante at 11% to win and Barcelona at 73%, with the draw at 15%. Our model makes a Barcelona win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Draw 15% @ 7.00 +6.5%
Levante Win 11% @ 9.00 +2.9%
Barcelona Win 73% @ 1.23 -9.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levante or Draw at 3.65 (28% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
Levante or Draw 28% @ 3.65 +1.0%
Barcelona or Draw 90% @ 1.05 -5.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Over 3.5 54% @ 1.78 -3.1%
Over 2.5 74% @ 1.30 -3.2%
Over 1.5 90% @ 1.07 -3.7%
Under 3.5 46% @ 1.90 -13.4%
Under 2.5 26% @ 3.35 -14.5%
Under 1.5 10% @ 7.50 -24.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS Yes 66% @ 1.63 +7.4%
BTTS No 34% @ 2.10 -28.4%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Levante vs Barcelona?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 74% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams to score at 1.63 (+7.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Levante vs Barcelona?

Our model makes a Barcelona win the most likely result at 73%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.6 scoreline for Levante vs Barcelona.

What is the predicted score for Levante vs Barcelona?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Levante and 2.64 for Barcelona. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Levante and Barcelona play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.