vs
⚽ La Liga
Levante vs Barcelona Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Levante vs Barcelona in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.
Levante face Barcelona in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Levante have 1 win from their last 4, while Barcelona have 4 wins from their last 4. In their last 2 meetings, Barcelona won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Barcelona win the most likely result at 73%, projecting a 1.2-2.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Levante vs Barcelona with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Levante vs Barcelona is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates a Barcelona win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 73%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (66%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams to score at odds 1.63 (+7.4% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Levante and Barcelona. Wins shown from Levante’s perspective: Barcelona 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Barcelona | 3 – 0 | Levante | L |
| 2025-08-23 | Levante | 2 – 3 | Barcelona | L |
📈 Recent form
Levante come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Real Betis. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Espanyol.
- DMalaga 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
- WLevante 5-2 Real BetisLa Liga
- DOsasuna 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
- LEspanyol 3-0 LevanteLa Liga
- WCastellón 1-3 LevanteFriendlies Clubs
Barcelona come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 22 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Valencia. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WBarcelona 5-1 FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
- WValencia 0-5 BarcelonaLa Liga
- WBarcelona 5-2 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
- WBarcelona 2-0 Athletic ClubLa Liga
- WElche 0-5 BarcelonaLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- K. Etta EyongInjury
- A. PrimoShoulder Injury
- R. BardghjiKnee Injury
- F. de JongKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Levante at 11% to win and Barcelona at 73%, with the draw at 15%. Our model makes a Barcelona win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 15% | @ 7.00 | +6.5% |
| Levante Win | 11% | @ 9.00 | +2.9% |
| Barcelona Win | 73% | @ 1.23 | -9.8% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levante or Draw at 3.65 (28% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante or Draw | 28% | @ 3.65 | +1.0% |
| Barcelona or Draw | 90% | @ 1.05 | -5.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 54% | @ 1.78 | -3.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | @ 1.30 | -3.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | @ 1.07 | -3.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 46% | @ 1.90 | -13.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | @ 3.35 | -14.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 10% | @ 7.50 | -24.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | @ 1.63 | +7.4% |
| BTTS No | 34% | @ 2.10 | -28.4% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Levante vs Barcelona?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 74% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams to score at 1.63 (+7.4% value).
Who is the favourite for Levante vs Barcelona?
Our model makes a Barcelona win the most likely result at 73%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.6 scoreline for Levante vs Barcelona.
What is the predicted score for Levante vs Barcelona?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Levante and 2.64 for Barcelona. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Levante and Barcelona play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
