Sat 31 Oct12:30Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Lincoln vs Birmingham Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lincoln vs Birmingham in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lincoln face Birmingham in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Lincoln have 1 win from their last 5, while Birmingham have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Birmingham win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 0.8-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lincoln vs Birmingham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.82 – 1.88 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	12.6%	11.9%	7.4%	3.5%
1	5.5%	10.4%	9.7%	6.1%	2.9%
2	2.3%	4.2%	4.0%	2.5%	1.2%
3	0.6%	1.2%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Lincoln winDrawBirmingham win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lincoln vs Birmingham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Birmingham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Lincoln 32%Draw 26%Birmingham 42%

32%26%42%

42%

Birmingham Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Lincoln

Lincoln come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Burnley. Their most recent defeat was 0-6 at home to West Ham.

WLincoln 4-1 BurnleyChampionship
DMillwall 2-2 LincolnChampionship
LLincoln 0-6 West HamChampionship
LSheffield Utd 3-0 LincolnChampionship
LLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship

Birmingham

Birmingham come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Preston. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Cardiff.

LCardiff 1-0 BirminghamChampionship
WBirmingham 3-0 QPRChampionship
WBirmingham 4-0 PrestonChampionship
WWest Brom 0-1 BirminghamChampionship
DBirmingham 2-2 MiddlesbroughChampionship

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lincoln at 32% to win and Birmingham at 42%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Birmingham win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Birmingham Win	42%	45%	@ 2.05
Lincoln Win	32%	29%	@ 3.20
Draw	26%	27%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Birmingham or Draw at 1.36 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Birmingham or Draw	68%	71%	@ 1.36
Lincoln or Draw	58%	55%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	73%	@ 1.30
Under 3.5	71%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	51%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	49%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	29%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	25%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	53%	46%	@ 2.00
BTTS Yes	47%	54%	@ 1.73

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lincoln vs Birmingham?

Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Lincoln vs Birmingham?

Our model makes a Birmingham win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.9 scoreline for Lincoln vs Birmingham.

What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Birmingham?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.82 for Lincoln and 1.88 for Birmingham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lincoln and Birmingham play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.