⚽ Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Los Angeles FC face New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Los Angeles FC have 0 wins from their last 5, while New York Red Bulls have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 2.02

68%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.63 – 1.21 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	7.1%	4.3%	1.7%	0.5%
1	9.5%	11.5%	7.0%	2.8%	0.9%
2	7.8%	9.4%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.2%	5.1%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.7%	2.1%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Los Angeles FC winDrawNew York Red Bulls win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 2.02, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is New York Red Bulls or Draw at odds 2.85 (+54.8% model value).

Best value

New York Red Bulls or Draw at odds 2.85, 54% model probability, +54.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Los Angeles FC 46%Draw 25%New York Red Bulls 29%

46%25%29%

46%

Los Angeles FC Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+54.8%

Best value: New York Red Bulls or Draw

📈 Recent form

Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Colorado Rapids.

DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
DDC United 0-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
DLos Angeles FC 1-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
LColorado Rapids 1-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
LLos Angeles FC 0-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Philadelphia Union.

DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
LNew York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
DNew York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
LNew York Red Bulls 0-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
LAtlanta United FC 2-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Los Angeles FC

T. HasalArm Injury
Igor JesusKnee Injury
R. PorteousLeg Injury
T. TillmanInjury
E. SeguraLeg Injury

New York Red Bulls

R. DonkorSuspended (cards)
A. MarcucciKnee Injury
R. MosqueraNot in squad
M. SofoThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Los Angeles FC at 46% to win and New York Red Bulls at 29%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
New York Red Bulls Win	29%	@ 6.25	+79.8%
Draw	25%	@ 5.20	+31.4%
Los Angeles FC Win	46%	@ 1.40	-35.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York Red Bulls or Draw at 2.85 (54% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
New York Red Bulls or Draw	54%	@ 2.85	+54.8%
Los Angeles FC or Draw	72%	@ 1.11	-20.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	22%	@ 7.50	+68.3%
Under 2.5	46%	@ 3.45	+58.7%
Under 3.5	68%	@ 2.02	+38.0%
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.07	-17.0%
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.29	-30.3%
Over 3.5	32%	@ 1.76	-44.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.55	+11.4%
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.45	-18.4%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	53%
Dixon-Coles	Home	41%
GradientBoosting	Home	45%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.49 for the home side, 1.12 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 2.02, with 68% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is New York Red Bulls or Draw at 2.85 (+54.8% value).

Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?

Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls.

What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Los Angeles FC and 1.21 for New York Red Bulls. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Los Angeles FC and New York Red Bulls play?

Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.