⚽ Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Result: Los Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls finished 2-0. Los Angeles FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.95, landed.
Los Angeles FC face New York Red Bulls in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Los Angeles FC have no wins from their last 5, while New York Red Bulls have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Los Angeles FC won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is New York Red Bulls with a +2 start at odds 1.50, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Los Angeles FC and New York Red Bulls. Wins shown from Los Angeles FC’s perspective: Los Angeles FC 1 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles FC | 2 – 0 | New York Red Bulls | W |
| 2024-04-21 | Los Angeles FC | 2 – 2 | New York Red Bulls | D |
📈 Recent form
Los Angeles FC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to New York Red Bulls. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Sporting Kansas City.
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
New York Red Bulls come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at New York City FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Los Angeles FC.
- WNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LNew York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. HasalArm Injury
- R. PorteousLeg Injury
- E. SeguraLeg Injury
- T. TillmanInjury
- R. DonkorSuspended (cards)
- A. MarcucciKnee Injury
- R. MosqueraNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Los Angeles FC at 46% to win and New York Red Bulls at 29%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC Win | 46% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| New York Red Bulls Win | 29% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Draw | 25% | 18% | @ 5.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles FC or Draw at 1.11 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC or Draw | 72% | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| New York Red Bulls or Draw | 54% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 88% | @ 1.07 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 47% | @ 2.02 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 73% | @ 1.29 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 53% | @ 1.76 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 12% | @ 7.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 64% | @ 1.45 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 36% | @ 2.55 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Los Angeles FC or New York Red Bulls is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls +2 | 84% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| New York Red Bulls +1.75 | 81% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| New York Red Bulls +1.5 | 77% | 52% | @ 1.83 |
| New York Red Bulls +1.25 | 72% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.5 | 72% | 86% | 1.10 |
| New York Red Bulls +1 | 66% | 40% | @ 2.41 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.25 | 65% | 85% | 1.12 |
| New York Red Bulls +0.75 | 60% | 34% | @ 2.79 |
| Los Angeles FC 0 | 59% | 84% | 1.13 |
| New York Red Bulls +0.5 | 54% | 31% | @ 3.02 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.25 | 52% | 75% | 1.26 |
| New York Red Bulls +0.25 | 48% | 25% | @ 3.87 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.5 | 46% | 69% | 1.37 |
| New York Red Bulls 0 | 41% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.75 | 40% | 66% | 1.45 |
| New York Red Bulls -0.25 | 35% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Los Angeles FC -1 | 34% | 60% | 1.57 |
| New York Red Bulls -0.5 | 28% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.25 | 28% | 55% | 1.75 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.5 | 23% | 48% | 1.96 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.75 | 19% | 44% | 2.18 |
| Los Angeles FC -2 | 16% | 37% | 2.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Our model's main pick is New York Red Bulls with a +2 start at odds 1.50, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.
Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Los Angeles FC and 1.21 for New York Red Bulls. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Los Angeles FC and New York Red Bulls play?
Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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UdineseAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.