vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.
Los Angeles Galaxy face New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Los Angeles Galaxy have 1 win from their last 5, while New England Revolution have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.8-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at odds 1.44, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Los Angeles Galaxy win at odds 2.35 (+18.8% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Los Angeles Galaxy come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 4, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to San Jose Earthquakes. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at San Diego.
- LSan Diego 3-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- DCF Montreal 2-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles Galaxy 1-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LHouston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at DC United. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Toronto FC.
- WColumbus Crew 1-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DNew England Revolution 1-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 0-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LToronto FC 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LNew England Revolution 0-2 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Joao KlaussFoot Injury
- R. PuigKnee Injury
- E. WynderInjury
- L. CampanaHamstring Injury
- J. WynderNot in squad
- L. LangoniLower-Body Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Los Angeles Galaxy at 50% to win and New England Revolution at 23%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy Win | 50% | @ 2.35 | +18.8% |
| Draw | 27% | @ 3.60 | -3.4% |
| New England Revolution Win | 23% | @ 2.70 | -38.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at 1.44 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw | 76% | @ 1.44 | +9.8% |
| New England Revolution or Draw | 48% | @ 1.57 | -24.1% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 62% | @ 1.55 | -3.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | @ 1.16 | -3.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | @ 2.38 | -4.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | @ 1.56 | -6.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | @ 2.40 | -9.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | @ 4.90 | -16.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 39% | @ 2.55 | -1.6% |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | @ 1.45 | -11.0% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 59% |
| Dixon-Coles | Away | 41% |
| GradientBoosting | Home | 54% |
Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.
Expected goals: 1.64 for the home side, 1.03 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution?
Our main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at odds 1.44, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Los Angeles Galaxy win at 2.35 (+18.8% value).
Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution?
Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.80 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.41 for New England Revolution. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Los Angeles Galaxy and New England Revolution play?
Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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