⚽ Major League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.
Result: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England Revolution
Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution finished 2-1. Los Angeles Galaxy won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Los Angeles Galaxy face New England Revolution in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Los Angeles Galaxy have 1 win from their last 5, while New England Revolution have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.8-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +1 start at odds 1.26, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (63%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Los Angeles Galaxy come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Minnesota United FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Vancouver Whitecaps.
- WMinnesota United FC 2-3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- LVancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LSan Diego 3-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Orlando City SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- WNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 1-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Joao KlaussFoot Injury
- R. PuigKnee Injury
- E. WynderInjury
- L. CampanaHamstring Injury
- J. WynderNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Los Angeles Galaxy at 49% to win and New England Revolution at 24%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy Win | 49% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| New England Revolution Win | 24% | 34% | @ 2.70 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at 1.44 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw | 75% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| New England Revolution or Draw | 50% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 81% | @ 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 61% | @ 1.55 |
| Under 3.5 | 58% | 60% | @ 1.56 |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 39% | @ 2.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | 19% | @ 4.90 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 64% | @ 1.45 |
| BTTS No | 37% | 36% | @ 2.55 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Los Angeles Galaxy or New England Revolution is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.75 | 92% | 84% | @ 1.13 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.5 | 91% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.25 | 87% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1 | 83% | – | @ 1.26 |
| New England Revolution +2 | 82% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.75 | 79% | 68% | @ 1.41 |
| New England Revolution +1.75 | 78% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.5 | 75% | 62% | @ 1.54 |
| New England Revolution +1.5 | 74% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.25 | 69% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| New England Revolution +1.25 | 68% | – | 1.25 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy 0 | 62% | 49% | @ 1.96 |
| New England Revolution +1 | 62% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 | 56% | 43% | @ 2.23 |
| New England Revolution +0.75 | 56% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.5 | 50% | 38% | @ 2.54 |
| New England Revolution +0.5 | 50% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.75 | 44% | 32% | @ 3.02 |
| New England Revolution +0.25 | 44% | 57% | 1.68 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -1 | 38% | 25% | @ 3.85 |
| New England Revolution 0 | 38% | 51% | 1.90 |
| New England Revolution -0.25 | 31% | 44% | 2.19 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -1.5 | 26% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| New England Revolution -0.5 | 25% | 38% | 2.48 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -1.75 | 22% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| New England Revolution -0.75 | 21% | 32% | 2.96 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -2 | 19% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| New England Revolution -1.25 | 13% | 23% | 4.15 |
| New England Revolution -1.5 | 9% | 21% | 4.50 |
| New England Revolution -1.75 | 8% | 16% | 5.90 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution?
Our model's main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +1 start at odds 1.26, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.
Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution?
Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.76 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.54 for New England Revolution. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Los Angeles Galaxy and New England Revolution play?
Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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