vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Los Angeles Galaxy face Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Los Angeles Galaxy have 2 wins from their last 5, while Seattle Sounders have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 3, Seattle Sounders won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Los Angeles Galaxy and Seattle Sounders. Wins shown from Los Angeles Galaxy’s perspective: Los Angeles Galaxy 3 · 1 drawn · Seattle Sounders 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Seattle Sounders | 0 – 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W |
| 2024-12-01 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 – 0 | Seattle Sounders | W |
| 2024-05-05 | Seattle Sounders | 0 – 0 | Los Angeles Galaxy | D |
| 2024-03-31 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 – 0 | Seattle Sounders | W |
| 2023-10-05 | Seattle Sounders | 2 – 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | L |
📈 Recent form
Los Angeles Galaxy come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to New England Revolution. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at San Diego.
- WLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LSan Diego 3-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- DCF Montreal 2-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles Galaxy 1-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LHouston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Seattle Sounders come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Austin.
- DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- LSeattle Sounders 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- LSeattle Sounders 0-2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- R. PuigKnee Injury
- E. WynderInjury
- Joao KlaussFoot Injury
- J. PaintsilThigh Injury
- J. FerreiraInjury
- Y. Gomez AndradeMuscle Injury
- N. PetkovicKnee Injury
- J. RagenKnee Injury
- P. de La VegaCalf Injury
- K. Kossa-RienziInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Los Angeles Galaxy at 43% to win and Seattle Sounders at 31%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 26% | @ 3.70 | -1.9% |
| Seattle Sounders Win | 31% | @ 3.05 | -6.0% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Win | 43% | @ 2.12 | -9.6% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.68 (57% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders or Draw | 57% | @ 1.68 | -4.0% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw | 69% | @ 1.36 | -6.2% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 22% | @ 5.00 | +11.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | @ 2.43 | +11.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | @ 1.57 | +6.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | @ 1.15 | -10.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | @ 1.53 | -17.0% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | @ 2.32 | -25.9% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 42% | @ 2.50 | +5.4% |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | @ 1.47 | -14.9% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with 68% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.48 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.37 for Seattle Sounders. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Los Angeles Galaxy and Seattle Sounders play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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