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⚽ Primeira Liga

Marítimo vs Santa Clara Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Marítimo vs Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Marítimo face Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Marítimo have no wins from their last 5, while Santa Clara have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Santa Clara win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.0-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Marítimo vs Santa Clara with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.44

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.99 – 1.64 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	11.8%	9.7%	5.3%	2.2%
1	7.1%	11.7%	9.6%	5.2%	2.2%
2	3.5%	5.8%	4.8%	2.6%	1.1%
3	1.2%	1.9%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Marítimo winDrawSanta Clara win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Marítimo vs Santa Clara comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Santa Clara win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Marítimo 31%Draw 28%Santa Clara 41%

31%28%41%

41%

Santa Clara Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Marítimo

Marítimo come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Alcochetense. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Vitória SC.

LVitória SC 5-0 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
WAlcochetense 1-2 MarítimoTaça de Portugal
LMarítimo 1-2 FC PortoPrimeira Liga
DGil Vicente 1-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga
LMoreirense 3-1 MarítimoPrimeira Liga

Santa Clara

Santa Clara come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Casa Pia. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Benfica.

LSanta Clara 1-2 BenficaPrimeira Liga
DMafra 2-2 Santa ClaraTaça de Portugal
WCasa Pia 0-1 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
DSanta Clara 0-0 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
WArouca 1-2 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Marítimo at 31% to win and Santa Clara at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Santa Clara win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Santa Clara Win	41%	42%	@ 2.25
Marítimo Win	31%	28%	@ 3.30
Draw	28%	30%	@ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Santa Clara or Draw at 1.33 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Santa Clara or Draw	68%	72%	@ 1.33
Marítimo or Draw	58%	58%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	65%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	73%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 2.5	51%	62%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	49%	38%	@ 2.50
Over 3.5	27%	19%	@ 5.00
Under 1.5	26%	35%	@ 2.62

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	45%	@ 2.05
BTTS No	50%	55%	@ 1.70

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marítimo vs Santa Clara?

Our model's pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for Marítimo vs Santa Clara?

Our model makes a Santa Clara win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline for Marítimo vs Santa Clara.

What is the predicted score for Marítimo vs Santa Clara?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.99 for Marítimo and 1.64 for Santa Clara. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Marítimo and Santa Clara play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.