Thu 10 Sep1-2Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Minnesota United FC 1-2 FC Dallas

Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas finished 1-2. FC Dallas won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.55, landed.

Minnesota United FC face FC Dallas in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Minnesota United FC have 1 win from their last 5, while FC Dallas have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Minnesota United FC won 1, FC Dallas won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Minnesota United FC win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.9-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Dallas +1.5 @ 1.33

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.89 – 1.71 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.7%	4.7%	4.0%	2.3%	1.0%
1	5.2%	8.8%	7.6%	4.3%	1.8%
2	4.9%	8.3%	7.1%	4.1%	1.7%
3	3.1%	5.3%	4.5%	2.6%	1.1%
4	1.5%	2.5%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-1

Minnesota United FC winDrawFC Dallas win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Dallas with a +1.5 start at odds 1.33, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Minnesota United FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (68%).

📊 Key numbers

Minnesota United FC 44%Draw 26%FC Dallas 30%

44%26%30%

44%

Minnesota United FC Win

70%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Minnesota United FC and FC Dallas. Wins shown from Minnesota United FC’s perspective: Minnesota United FC 1 · 2 drawn · FC Dallas 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-10	Minnesota United FC	1 – 2	FC Dallas	L
2026-04-23	FC Dallas	0 – 1	Minnesota United FC	W
2024-06-20	FC Dallas	5 – 3	Minnesota United FC	L
2024-06-09	Minnesota United FC	1 – 1	FC Dallas	D
2023-05-01	Minnesota United FC	0 – 0	FC Dallas	D

📈 Recent form

Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 17. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Los Angeles Galaxy.

LMinnesota United FC 2-3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
LSt. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
LMinnesota United FC 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
LPortland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
DMinnesota United FC 3-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer

FC Dallas

FC Dallas come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Portland Timbers.

DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
WFC Dallas 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
WMinnesota United FC 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
WFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
DSt. Louis City 3-3 FC DallasMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Minnesota United FC

B. HlongwaneKnee Injury
P. StroudMuscle Injury

FC Dallas

DanielHamstring Injury
Geovane JesusKnee Injury
A. A. Julio SantosInjury
P. MusaUpper-Body Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Minnesota United FC at 44% to win and FC Dallas at 30%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Minnesota United FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Minnesota United FC Win	44%	49%	@ 1.89
FC Dallas Win	30%	26%	@ 3.55
Draw	26%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Minnesota United FC or Draw at 1.28 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Minnesota United FC or Draw	70%	74%	@ 1.28
FC Dallas or Draw	56%	51%	@ 1.87

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	82%	@ 1.15
Over 2.5	70%	61%	@ 1.53
Under 3.5	52%	60%	@ 1.56
Over 3.5	48%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 2.5	30%	39%	@ 2.43
Under 1.5	13%	18%	@ 5.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	68%	62%	@ 1.49
BTTS No	32%	38%	@ 2.45

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Minnesota United FC or FC Dallas is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Minnesota United FC +1.5	88%	85%	1.12
FC Dallas +2	85%	83%	1.14
Minnesota United FC +1.25	84%	86%	1.10
FC Dallas +1.75	82%	76%	@ 1.24
Minnesota United FC +1	79%	86%	1.10
FC Dallas +1.5	78%	71%	@ 1.33
Minnesota United FC +0.75	74%	–	1.24
FC Dallas +1.25	73%	67%	@ 1.42
Minnesota United FC +0.5	70%	–	1.28
FC Dallas +1	67%	63%	@ 1.52
Minnesota United FC +0.25	64%	71%	1.34
FC Dallas +0.75	62%	55%	@ 1.73
Minnesota United FC 0	57%	65%	1.45
FC Dallas +0.5	56%	50%	@ 1.88
Minnesota United FC -0.25	51%	57%	1.67
FC Dallas +0.25	49%	43%	@ 2.25
Minnesota United FC -0.5	44%	50%	1.90
FC Dallas 0	43%	35%	@ 2.74
Minnesota United FC -0.75	38%	45%	2.13
FC Dallas -0.25	36%	29%	@ 3.32
Minnesota United FC -1	33%	37%	2.55
Minnesota United FC -1.25	27%	33%	2.89
Minnesota United FC -1.5	22%	29%	3.22
FC Dallas -1	21%	14%	@ 6.80
Minnesota United FC -1.75	18%	24%	3.90
FC Dallas -1.25	16%	14%	@ 7.00
Minnesota United FC -2	15%	17%	5.75
FC Dallas -1.5	12%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

Minnesota United FC 50%Draw 25%FC Dallas 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas?

Our model's main pick is FC Dallas with a +1.5 start at odds 1.33, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas?

Our model makes a Minnesota United FC win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.7 scoreline for Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas.

What is the predicted score for Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Minnesota United FC and 1.71 for FC Dallas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Minnesota United FC and FC Dallas play?

Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.