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⚽ Premiership

Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Motherwell face Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Motherwell have no wins from their last 5, while Heart Of Midlothian have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 1.2-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Heart Of Midlothian or Draw @ 1.36

81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.21 – 2.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	7.3%	8.0%	5.9%	3.2%
1	4.0%	8.8%	9.7%	7.1%	3.9%
2	2.4%	5.3%	5.9%	4.3%	2.4%
3	1.0%	2.1%	2.4%	1.7%	1.0%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-2

Motherwell winDrawHeart Of Midlothian win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at odds 1.36, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Motherwell 21%Draw 19%Heart Of Midlothian 60%

21%19%60%

60%

Heart Of Midlothian Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Motherwell and Heart Of Midlothian. Wins shown from Motherwell’s perspective: 1 drawn · Heart Of Midlothian 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-09	Motherwell	1 – 1	Heart Of Midlothian	D
2026-04-11	Heart Of Midlothian	3 – 1	Motherwell	L

📈 Recent form

Motherwell

Motherwell come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Kilmarnock.

LKilmarnock 3-2 MotherwellPremiership
LMotherwell 0-2 CelticPremiership
LDundee 2-1 MotherwellPremiership
LMotherwell 0-4 AberdeenPremiership
LRangers 1-0 MotherwellPremiership

Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to St Mirren. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-7 at Celtic.

LCeltic 7-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
DHeart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference
WHeart Of Midlothian 5-0 St MirrenPremiership
DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
LFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Motherwell at 21% to win and Heart Of Midlothian at 60%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heart Of Midlothian Win	60%	44%	@ 2.10
Motherwell Win	21%	31%	@ 3.00
Draw	19%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at 1.36 (81% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw	81%	69%	@ 1.36
Motherwell or Draw	42%	56%	@ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	79%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	66%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 3.5	56%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 3.5	44%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 2.5	34%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	15%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	39%	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Motherwell 30%Draw 26%Heart Of Midlothian 44%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our model's pick is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at odds 1.36, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.2 scoreline for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian.

What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.21 for Motherwell and 2.20 for Heart Of Midlothian. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Motherwell and Heart Of Midlothian play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.