⚽ Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

NEC Nijmegen face Feyenoord in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: NEC Nijmegen have 2 wins from their last 3, while Feyenoord have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 1, Feyenoord won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.6-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.35

70%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.63 – 1.98 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.7%	5.4%	5.3%	3.5%	1.7%
1	4.4%	8.7%	8.6%	5.7%	2.8%
2	3.6%	7.1%	7.0%	4.6%	2.3%
3	2.0%	3.9%	3.8%	2.5%	1.3%
4	0.8%	1.6%	1.6%	1.0%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-1

NEC Nijmegen winDrawFeyenoord win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 70%. On the match result, the model rates a Feyenoord win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (70%).

Best value

Feyenoord or Draw at odds 1.42, 70% model probability, -1.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

NEC Nijmegen 31%Draw 24%Feyenoord 44%

31%24%44%

44%

Feyenoord Win

70%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

BTTS yes

-1.3%

Best value: Feyenoord or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord. Wins shown from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective: NEC Nijmegen 1 · 3 drawn · Feyenoord 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-12	NEC Nijmegen	1 – 1	Feyenoord	D
2025-11-23	Feyenoord	2 – 4	NEC Nijmegen	W
2025-03-01	Feyenoord	0 – 0	NEC Nijmegen	D
2024-09-28	NEC Nijmegen	1 – 1	Feyenoord	D
2024-05-12	NEC Nijmegen	2 – 3	Feyenoord	L

📈 Recent form

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Willem II. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Bodo/Glimt.

WPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
LBodo/Glimt 3-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Champions League
LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
WWillem II 1-4 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Champions League

Feyenoord

Feyenoord come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Cambuur. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DFeyenoord 2-2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
WCambuur 2-5 FeyenoordEredivisie
DFeyenoord 2-2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
WSparta Rotterdam 0-1 FeyenoordEredivisie
WFeyenoord 2-1 AtalantaFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

NEC Nijmegen

A. KaplanKnee Injury
P. SandlerInjury
D. FonvilleInjury
D. NejasmicNot in squad

Feyenoord

T. BeelenBroken Leg
J. BosKnee Injury
J. ModerKnee Injury
B. NieuwkoopInjury
G. SmalAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices NEC Nijmegen at 31% to win and Feyenoord at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Feyenoord Win	44%	@ 2.25	-0.4%
Draw	24%	@ 3.80	-6.9%
NEC Nijmegen Win	31%	@ 2.75	-14.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Feyenoord or Draw at 1.42 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Feyenoord or Draw	70%	@ 1.42	-1.3%
NEC Nijmegen or Draw	56%	@ 1.61	-9.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	51%	@ 1.87	-4.0%
Over 1.5	88%	@ 1.09	-4.6%
Over 2.5	70%	@ 1.35	-5.6%
Under 2.5	30%	@ 3.10	-6.7%
Over 3.5	49%	@ 1.89	-8.0%
Under 1.5	12%	@ 7.00	-12.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	30%	@ 3.10	-6.0%
BTTS Yes	70%	@ 1.32	-8.0%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	50%
Dixon-Coles	Away	42%
GradientBoosting	Away	43%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.16 for the home side, 1.44 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.35, with 70% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?

Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.6-2.0 scoreline for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord.

What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.98 for Feyenoord. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.