⚽ Major League Soccer
New England Revolution vs New York City FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New England Revolution vs New York City FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Result: New England Revolution 1-1 New York City FC
New England Revolution vs New York City FC finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
New England Revolution face New York City FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 20:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, New England Revolution won 1, New York City FC won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New England Revolution win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New England Revolution vs New York City FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for New England Revolution vs New York City FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a New England Revolution win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (50%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between New England Revolution and New York City FC. Wins shown from New England Revolution’s perspective: New England Revolution 1 · 2 drawn · New York City FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | New York City FC | 1 – 2 | New England Revolution | W |
| 2026-08-23 | New England Revolution | 1 – 1 | New York City FC | D |
| 2024-05-25 | New England Revolution | 0 – 1 | New York City FC | L |
| 2024-04-13 | New York City FC | 2 – 0 | New England Revolution | L |
| 2023-06-03 | New York City FC | 0 – 0 | New England Revolution | D |
📈 Recent form
New England Revolution come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Orlando City SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- WNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 1-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
New York City FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Real Salt Lake. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to New York Red Bulls.
- LNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- WReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- LNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- L. CampanaHamstring Injury
- I. FeingoldLower-Body Injury
- L. LangoniLower-Body Injury
- B. RainesSuspended (cards)
- T. SmithNot in squad
- D. BaieraKnee Injury
- A. FarnosInjury
- A. MartinezKnee Injury
- M. MoralezKnee Injury
- A. O'NeillAnkle Injury
- Thiago MartinsLeg Injury
- K. TrewinAnkle Injury
- H. WolfLeg Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices New England Revolution at 40% to win and New York City FC at 29%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a New England Revolution win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution Win | 40% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| Draw | 31% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
| New York City FC Win | 29% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New England Revolution or Draw at 1.40 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution or Draw | 68% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| New York City FC or Draw | 58% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 76% | 66% | @ 1.42 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 44% | @ 2.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 59% | @ 1.56 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when New England Revolution or New York City FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution +1.5 | 87% | 84% | 1.13 |
| New York City FC +1.75 | 83% | 83% | 1.14 |
| New England Revolution +1.25 | 82% | 83% | 1.15 |
| New York City FC +1.5 | 80% | 77% | 1.20 |
| New England Revolution +1 | 78% | 81% | 1.17 |
| New York City FC +1.25 | 74% | 75% | 1.26 |
| New England Revolution +0.75 | 73% | 74% | 1.28 |
| New York City FC +1 | 69% | 72% | 1.32 |
| New England Revolution +0.5 | 68% | 67% | 1.41 |
| New York City FC +0.75 | 63% | 64% | 1.48 |
| New England Revolution +0.25 | 62% | 63% | 1.52 |
| New York City FC +0.5 | 58% | 58% | 1.62 |
| New England Revolution 0 | 55% | 57% | 1.69 |
| New York City FC +0.25 | 51% | 52% | 1.84 |
| New England Revolution -0.25 | 49% | 48% | 2.00 |
| New York City FC 0 | 45% | 43% | 2.20 |
| New England Revolution -0.5 | 42% | 42% | 2.25 |
| New York City FC -0.25 | 38% | 37% | 2.63 |
| New England Revolution -0.75 | 37% | 36% | 2.67 |
| New York City FC -0.5 | 32% | 33% | 2.83 |
| New England Revolution -1 | 31% | 28% | @ 3.44 |
| New York City FC -0.75 | 27% | 26% | 3.63 |
| New England Revolution -1.25 | 26% | 25% | 3.87 |
| New York City FC -1 | 22% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| New England Revolution -1.5 | 20% | 23% | 4.12 |
| New York City FC -1.25 | 18% | 17% | 5.50 |
| New England Revolution -1.75 | 17% | 17% | 5.75 |
| New York City FC -1.5 | 13% | 16% | 5.90 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.
Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
Our model makes a New England Revolution win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for New England Revolution vs New York City FC.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.39 for New England Revolution and 1.12 for New York City FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do New England Revolution and New York City FC play?
Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 20:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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