⚽ Major League Soccer
New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: New York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FC
New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
New York City FC face Los Angeles FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: New York City FC have 1 win from their last 5, while Los Angeles FC have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New York City FC win the most likely result at 34%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Los Angeles FC with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a New York City FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 34%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
New York City FC come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Inter Miami.
- DNew York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LInter Miami 2-0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- LChicago Fire 2-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- DAtlanta United FC 2-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- LNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
Los Angeles FC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Austin. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at FC Dallas.
- DNew York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles FC 3-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- D. BaieraKnee Injury
- A. FarnosLeg Injury
- M. MoralezKnee Injury
- K. ParksLeg Injury
- K. TrewinAnkle Injury
- C. CarterArm Injury
- J. EbobisseLeg Injury
- T. TillmanPelvis Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices New York City FC at 34% to win and Los Angeles FC at 32%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a New York City FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC Win | 34% | 35% | @ 2.75 |
| Draw | 33% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Los Angeles FC Win | 32% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York City FC or Draw at 1.50 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC or Draw | 64% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Los Angeles FC or Draw | 62% | 65% | @ 1.40 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 74% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 27% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when New York City FC or Los Angeles FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC +1.75 | 87% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Los Angeles FC +1.75 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| New York City FC +1.5 | 84% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Los Angeles FC +1.5 | 83% | 83% | 1.15 |
| New York City FC +1.25 | 79% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Los Angeles FC +1.25 | 78% | 81% | 1.17 |
| New York City FC +1 | 74% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Los Angeles FC +1 | 73% | 79% | 1.21 |
| New York City FC +0.75 | 69% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.75 | 67% | 71% | 1.33 |
| New York City FC +0.5 | 64% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.5 | 62% | 65% | 1.48 |
| New York City FC +0.25 | 58% | 56% | 1.71 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.25 | 56% | 59% | 1.61 |
| New York City FC 0 | 51% | 48% | @ 2.00 |
| Los Angeles FC 0 | 49% | 52% | 1.84 |
| New York City FC -0.25 | 44% | 41% | @ 2.35 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.25 | 42% | 44% | 2.16 |
| New York City FC -0.5 | 38% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.5 | 36% | 38% | 2.49 |
| New York City FC -0.75 | 33% | 29% | @ 3.31 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.75 | 31% | 32% | 2.96 |
| New York City FC -1 | 27% | 21% | @ 4.52 |
| Los Angeles FC -1 | 26% | 24% | @ 3.98 |
| New York City FC -1.25 | 22% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.25 | 21% | 22% | 4.25 |
| New York City FC -1.5 | 17% | 17% | 5.50 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.5 | 16% | 20% | 4.65 |
| New York City FC -1.75 | 14% | 14% | 7.00 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.75 | 13% | 15% | 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
Our pick is Los Angeles FC with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
Our model makes a New York City FC win the most likely result at 34%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.38 for New York City FC and 1.19 for Los Angeles FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do New York City FC and Los Angeles FC play?
Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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