⚽ Major League Soccer
New York City FC vs New England Revolution Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New York City FC vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Result: New York City FC 1-2 New England Revolution
New York City FC vs New England Revolution finished 1-2. New England Revolution won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, New York City FC or Draw at 1.37, did not land.
New York City FC face New England Revolution in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:00 UTC. Recent form: New York City FC have no wins from their last 5, while New England Revolution have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, New York City FC won 2, New England Revolution won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New York City FC win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New York City FC vs New England Revolution with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for New York City FC vs New England Revolution comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is New York City FC with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a New York City FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between New York City FC and New England Revolution. Wins shown from New York City FC’s perspective: New York City FC 2 · 2 drawn · New England Revolution 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | New York City FC | 1 – 2 | New England Revolution | L |
| 2026-08-23 | New England Revolution | 1 – 1 | New York City FC | D |
| 2024-05-25 | New England Revolution | 0 – 1 | New York City FC | W |
| 2024-04-13 | New York City FC | 2 – 0 | New England Revolution | W |
| 2023-06-03 | New York City FC | 0 – 0 | New England Revolution | D |
📈 Recent form
New York City FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Real Salt Lake. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to New York Red Bulls.
- LNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- WReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- LNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Orlando City SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- WNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 1-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- D. BaieraKnee Injury
- A. FarnosInjury
- M. MoralezKnee Injury
- K. ParksInjury
- Talles MagnoMuscle Injury
- K. TrewinAnkle Injury
- L. CampanaHamstring Injury
- J. WynderNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices New York City FC at 40% to win and New England Revolution at 29%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a New York City FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC Win | 40% | 40% | @ 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
| New England Revolution Win | 29% | 33% | @ 2.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York City FC or Draw at 1.41 (69% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC or Draw | 69% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
| New England Revolution or Draw | 57% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 57% | @ 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 43% | @ 2.16 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 22% | @ 4.35 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 60% | @ 1.54 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 40% | @ 2.32 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when New York City FC or New England Revolution is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC +1.75 | 89% | 86% | 1.11 |
| New York City FC +1.5 | 87% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| New England Revolution +2 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| New England Revolution +1.75 | 83% | 85% | 1.12 |
| New York City FC +1.25 | 83% | 79% | 1.19 |
| New England Revolution +1.5 | 80% | – | 1.18 |
| New York City FC +1 | 78% | – | 1.23 |
| New England Revolution +1.25 | 74% | – | 1.24 |
| New York City FC +0.75 | 73% | 70% | 1.35 |
| New York City FC +0.5 | 69% | 64% | @ 1.47 |
| New England Revolution +1 | 68% | 77% | 1.25 |
| New England Revolution +0.75 | 63% | 69% | 1.40 |
| New York City FC +0.25 | 62% | 59% | @ 1.64 |
| New England Revolution +0.5 | 57% | 61% | 1.54 |
| New York City FC 0 | 56% | 51% | @ 1.86 |
| New England Revolution +0.25 | 51% | 57% | 1.69 |
| New York City FC -0.25 | 49% | 43% | @ 2.21 |
| New England Revolution 0 | 44% | 49% | 1.96 |
| New York City FC -0.5 | 43% | 39% | @ 2.41 |
| New England Revolution -0.25 | 38% | 41% | 2.31 |
| New York City FC -0.75 | 37% | 31% | @ 3.04 |
| New York City FC -1 | 32% | 23% | @ 4.05 |
| New England Revolution -0.5 | 31% | 36% | 2.62 |
| New England Revolution -0.75 | 27% | 30% | 3.20 |
| New England Revolution -1.25 | 17% | 21% | 4.50 |
| New York City FC -1.75 | 17% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| New York City FC -2 | 14% | 14% | 7.00 |
| New England Revolution -1.5 | 13% | 19% | 5.00 |
| New England Revolution -1.75 | 11% | 14% | 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs New England Revolution?
Our model's main pick is New York City FC with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for New York City FC vs New England Revolution?
Our model makes a New York City FC win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for New York City FC vs New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs New England Revolution?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.50 for New York City FC and 1.33 for New England Revolution. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do New York City FC and New England Revolution play?
Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Valladolid
Albacete
Burgos
Granada CF
Atalanta
Venezia
Oviedo
Eibar
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Torino
UdineseAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.