Sat 5 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Nice vs Le Mans Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nice vs Le Mans in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Nice 1-1 Le Mans

Nice vs Le Mans finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Nice face Le Mans in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nice win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nice vs Le Mans with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Le Mans +1.5 @ 1.33

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 1.13 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	7.5%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	10.5%	11.9%	6.7%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.3%	9.4%	5.3%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.4%	4.9%	2.8%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.7%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Nice winDrawLe Mans win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nice vs Le Mans comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Le Mans with a +1.5 start at odds 1.33, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Nice win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Nice 40%Draw 35%Le Mans 24%

40%35%24%

40%

Nice Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Nice

Nice come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lille. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Auxerre.

WNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
LAuxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
LParis FC 3-0 NiceLigue 1
DNice 0-0 LorientLigue 1

Le Mans

Le Mans come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lorient. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Rennes.

WLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 LensLigue 1
DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
LRennes 3-2 Le MansLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 BrestLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Nice

L. AbergelKnee Injury
M. BombitoLeg Injury
M. SansonSurgery

Le Mans

E. ColasInjury
T. EyoumCoach's decision
W. HarhouzCoach's decision
N. KocikAnkle Injury
E. QuarshieCoach's decision
D. SidibeSuspended (red card)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Nice at 40% to win and Le Mans at 24%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes a Nice win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nice Win	40%	51%	@ 1.82
Draw	35%	27%	@ 3.50
Le Mans Win	24%	22%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nice or Draw at 1.21 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nice or Draw	71%	78%	@ 1.21
Le Mans or Draw	55%	49%	@ 1.94

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	73%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	71%	72%	@ 1.30
Over 2.5	51%	49%	@ 1.93
Under 2.5	49%	51%	@ 1.86
Over 3.5	29%	28%	@ 3.35
Under 1.5	25%	27%	@ 3.55

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	52%	@ 1.79
BTTS No	46%	48%	@ 1.94

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nice or Le Mans is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Le Mans +2	85%	84%	1.13
Le Mans +1.75	81%	77%	@ 1.25
Le Mans +1.5	78%	72%	@ 1.33
Nice +0.75	75%	83%	1.15
Le Mans +1.25	72%	67%	@ 1.41
Nice +0.5	71%	77%	1.24
Le Mans +1	67%	63%	@ 1.52
Nice +0.25	64%	74%	1.29
Le Mans +0.75	61%	55%	@ 1.75
Nice 0	58%	70%	1.37
Le Mans +0.5	55%	48%	@ 2.02
Nice -0.25	51%	59%	1.61
Le Mans +0.25	49%	41%	@ 2.35
Nice -0.5	45%	52%	1.86
Le Mans 0	42%	30%	@ 3.15
Nice -0.75	39%	45%	2.10
Le Mans -0.25	36%	26%	@ 3.62
Nice -1	33%	37%	2.56
Le Mans -0.5	29%	23%	@ 4.11
Nice -1.25	28%	33%	2.92
Le Mans -0.75	25%	17%	@ 5.50
Nice -1.5	22%	28%	3.35
Nice -1.75	19%	23%	4.08
Nice -2	15%	16%	5.90

📈 How the market moved

Nice 52%Draw 26%Le Mans 22%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nice vs Le Mans?

Our model's main pick is Le Mans with a +1.5 start at odds 1.33, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Nice vs Le Mans?

Our model makes a Nice win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Nice vs Le Mans.

What is the predicted score for Nice vs Le Mans?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Nice and 1.13 for Le Mans. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nice and Le Mans play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.