⚽ Ligue 1

Nice vs Le Mans Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nice vs Le Mans in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Nice face Le Mans in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nice win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nice vs Le Mans with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.28

75%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 1.13 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	7.5%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	10.5%	11.9%	6.7%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.3%	9.4%	5.3%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.4%	4.9%	2.8%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.7%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Nice winDrawLe Mans win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nice vs Le Mans is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Nice win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (54%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Le Mans or Draw at odds 1.94 (+7.0% model value).

Best value

Le Mans or Draw at odds 1.94, 55% model probability, +7.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Nice 40%Draw 35%Le Mans 24%

40%35%24%

40%

Nice Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

+7.0%

Best value: Le Mans or Draw

📈 Recent form

Nice

Nice come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Nimes. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Paris FC.

LParis FC 3-0 NiceLigue 1
DNice 0-0 LorientLigue 1
DHull City 0-0 NiceFriendlies Clubs
LJuventus 2-0 NiceFriendlies Clubs
WNice 4-0 NimesFriendlies Clubs

Le Mans

Le Mans come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Angers. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Rennes.

LRennes 3-2 Le MansLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
LLe Mans 0-1 Le HavreFriendlies Clubs
DLe Mans 1-1 UNFPFriendlies Clubs
WAngers 2-3 Le MansFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Nice

A. AbdiSurgery
L. AbergelKnee Injury
M. BombitoLeg Injury
M. SansonSurgery

Le Mans

Y. LarouciConcussion
D. SidibeSuspended (red card)
E. ColasNot in squad
N. KocikInjury
S. YohouThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Nice at 40% to win and Le Mans at 24%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes a Nice win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	35%	@ 3.50	+23.9%
Le Mans Win	24%	@ 4.20	+3.0%
Nice Win	40%	@ 1.82	-27.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Le Mans or Draw at 1.94 (55% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Le Mans or Draw	55%	@ 1.94	+7.0%
Nice or Draw	71%	@ 1.21	-14.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	51%	@ 1.93	-1.8%
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.35	-3.5%
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.28	-3.6%
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.30	-7.5%
Under 2.5	49%	@ 1.86	-8.6%
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.55	-12.4%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.79	-3.5%
BTTS No	46%	@ 1.94	-10.6%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	48%
GradientBoosting	Draw	39%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.47 for the home side, 1.14 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nice vs Le Mans?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Le Mans or Draw at 1.94 (+7.0% value).

Who is the favourite for Nice vs Le Mans?

Our model makes a Nice win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Nice vs Le Mans.

What is the predicted score for Nice vs Le Mans?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Nice and 1.13 for Le Mans. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nice and Le Mans play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.