OFI

Thu 22 Oct16:45Upcoming

⚽ UEFA Europa League

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

OFI face Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.1-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.36

70%Bookmaker odds imply 70%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.10 – 1.57 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	10.9%	8.5%	4.5%	1.8%
1	7.6%	12.0%	9.4%	4.9%	1.9%
2	4.2%	6.6%	5.2%	2.7%	1.1%
3	1.5%	2.4%	1.9%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

OFI winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

OFI 24%Draw 32%Bayer Leverkusen 44%

24%32%44%

44%

Bayer Leverkusen Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

OFI

OFI come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Hoffenheim. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at Kalamata.

LKalamata 4-3 OFISuper League 1
LRennes 2-1 OFIUEFA Europa League
LAEK Athens FC 3-0 OFISuper League 1
DOFI 2-2 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
WOFI 2-0 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Lech Poznan. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WBayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
WLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa League
WFSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 CeljeUEFA Europa League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

OFI

A. ChatzigiovanisOff the roster
A. Leya IsekaGroin Injury
N. MarinakisGroin Injury
C. SielisMuscle Injury

Bayer Leverkusen

E. Ben SeghirMuscle Injury
V. BonifaceOff the roster
G. DoueCalf Injury
K. EichhornIllness
J. HofmannOff the roster
C. KofaneMuscle Injury
T. OermannOff the roster
M. TerrierMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices OFI at 24% to win and Bayer Leverkusen at 44%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen Win	44%	78%	@ 1.22
Draw	32%	14%	@ 7.00
OFI Win	24%	9%	@ 11.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.06 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw	73%	91%	@ 1.06
OFI or Draw	52%	22%	@ 4.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	86%	@ 1.10
Under 3.5	72%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	50%	30%	@ 3.20
Over 2.5	50%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 3.5	28%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	25%	14%	@ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	47%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

OFI 9%Draw 14%Bayer Leverkusen 78%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 What our models say about this match

🔍 What our models say about this match

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	48%
GradientBoosting	Away	43%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.09 for the home side, 1.54 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.6 scoreline for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen.

What is the predicted score for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.10 for OFI and 1.57 for Bayer Leverkusen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do OFI and Bayer Leverkusen play?

Kick-off is Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.