Olympiakos Piraeus
Jagiellonia⚽ UEFA Europa League
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 Jagiellonia
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia finished 2-1. Olympiakos Piraeus won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.52, landed.
Olympiakos Piraeus face Jagiellonia in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Olympiakos Piraeus win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 2.0-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11.2% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Jagiellonia with a +2 start at odds 1.42, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Olympiakos Piraeus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (50%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Olympiakos Piraeus come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Larisa. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to OFI.
- WLevadiakos 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
- WOlympiakos Piraeus 2-1 JagielloniaUEFA Europa League
- LOlympiakos Piraeus 0-1 OFISuper League 1
- DVolos NFC 1-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
- WLarisa 0-4 Olympiakos PiraeusCup
Jagiellonia come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Slask Wroclaw. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Legia Warszawa.
- LJagiellonia 1-3 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
- LOlympiakos Piraeus 2-1 JagielloniaUEFA Europa League
- LWisla Krakow 2-0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
- WJagiellonia 2-1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- LLech Poznan 2-1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- ClaytonOff the roster
- A. El KaabiBroken Leg
- K. FortounisSuspended (red card)
- D. GarciaOff the roster
- B. PopovicOff the roster
- J. RocaShoulder Injury
- L. ScipioniOff the roster
- Y. YaziciKnee Injury
- D. DrachalOff the roster
- Y. KobayashiNot in squad
- D. RallisOff the roster
- Z. ZalewskiOff the roster
- O. SowNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Olympiakos Piraeus at 54% to win and Jagiellonia at 19%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes an Olympiakos Piraeus win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus Win | 54% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Draw | 27% | 19% | @ 4.90 |
| Jagiellonia Win | 19% | 11% | @ 8.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Olympiakos Piraeus or Draw at 1.07 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus or Draw | 79% | 89% | @ 1.07 |
| Jagiellonia or Draw | 44% | 30% | @ 3.05 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Under 3.5 | 67% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 60% | @ 1.58 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 40% | @ 2.33 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 38% | @ 2.43 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 20% | @ 4.80 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 50% | @ 1.85 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 50% | @ 1.86 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Olympiakos Piraeus or Jagiellonia is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia +2 | 78% | 67% | @ 1.42 |
| Jagiellonia +1.75 | 73% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus +0.25 | 73% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Jagiellonia +1.5 | 69% | 54% | @ 1.79 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus 0 | 67% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Jagiellonia +1.25 | 63% | 47% | @ 2.03 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus -0.25 | 61% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Jagiellonia +1 | 57% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus -0.5 | 56% | 69% | 1.37 |
| Jagiellonia +0.75 | 51% | 35% | @ 2.72 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus -0.75 | 49% | 65% | 1.46 |
| Jagiellonia +0.5 | 44% | 31% | @ 3.10 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus -1 | 43% | 60% | 1.58 |
| Jagiellonia +0.25 | 39% | 24% | @ 3.91 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus -1.25 | 37% | 53% | 1.83 |
| Jagiellonia 0 | 33% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus -1.5 | 31% | 46% | 2.06 |
| Jagiellonia -0.25 | 27% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus -1.75 | 27% | 41% | 2.35 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus -2 | 22% | 33% | 2.86 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
Our model's main pick is Jagiellonia with a +2 start at odds 1.42, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.
Who is the favourite for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
Our model makes an Olympiakos Piraeus win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.9 scoreline for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia.
What is the predicted score for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.01 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 0.88 for Jagiellonia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Olympiakos Piraeus and Jagiellonia play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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