⚽ UEFA Europa League
Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Result: Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo
Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo finished 1-0. Omonia Nicosia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.30, did not land.
Omonia Nicosia face Celta Vigo in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 16:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Omonia Nicosia win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Omonia Nicosia with a +1.5 start at odds 1.27, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Omonia Nicosia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (59%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Omonia Nicosia come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Krasava Ypsonas. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Pafos.
- WOmonia Nicosia 4-1 Krasava Ypsonas1. Division
- WOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
- DOmonia Nicosia 0-0 Apollon Limassol1. Division
- WAris 1-4 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
- LOmonia Nicosia 0-1 PafosSuper Cup
Celta Vigo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Racing Santander. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Omonia Nicosia.
- WCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
- LOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
- DCelta Vigo 1-1 MálagaLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- B. AkintolaNot in squad
- C. EitingKnee Injury
- F. KitsosKnee Injury
- A. AntanonAnkle Injury
- I. AspasMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Omonia Nicosia at 37% to win and Celta Vigo at 33%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes an Omonia Nicosia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia Win | 37% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Celta Vigo Win | 33% | 49% | @ 1.92 |
| Draw | 31% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Omonia Nicosia or Draw at 1.86 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia or Draw | 65% | 51% | @ 1.86 |
| Celta Vigo or Draw | 61% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 51% | @ 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
| Under 1.5 | 21% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 53% | @ 1.76 |
| BTTS No | 41% | 47% | @ 1.96 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Omonia Nicosia or Celta Vigo is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia +2 | 90% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Omonia Nicosia +1.75 | 88% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Omonia Nicosia +1.5 | 85% | 74% | @ 1.27 |
| Omonia Nicosia +1.25 | 80% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Celta Vigo +1.25 | 77% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Omonia Nicosia +1 | 75% | 67% | @ 1.42 |
| Celta Vigo +1 | 72% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Omonia Nicosia +0.75 | 70% | 58% | @ 1.64 |
| Celta Vigo +0.75 | 66% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Omonia Nicosia +0.5 | 65% | 51% | @ 1.88 |
| Celta Vigo +0.5 | 61% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Omonia Nicosia +0.25 | 59% | 44% | @ 2.18 |
| Celta Vigo +0.25 | 54% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Omonia Nicosia 0 | 52% | 33% | @ 2.84 |
| Celta Vigo 0 | 48% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Omonia Nicosia -0.25 | 46% | 28% | @ 3.38 |
| Celta Vigo -0.25 | 41% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Omonia Nicosia -0.5 | 39% | 24% | @ 3.89 |
| Celta Vigo -0.5 | 35% | 49% | 1.99 |
| Omonia Nicosia -0.75 | 34% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Celta Vigo -0.75 | 30% | 42% | 2.28 |
| Omonia Nicosia -1 | 28% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Celta Vigo -1 | 25% | 33% | 2.90 |
| Omonia Nicosia -1.25 | 23% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Celta Vigo -1.25 | 20% | 28% | 3.34 |
| Celta Vigo -1.5 | 15% | 26% | 3.69 |
| Celta Vigo -1.75 | 12% | 20% | 4.65 |
| Celta Vigo -2 | 10% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
Our model's main pick is Omonia Nicosia with a +1.5 start at odds 1.27, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
Our model makes an Omonia Nicosia win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo.
What is the predicted score for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.48 for Omonia Nicosia and 1.44 for Celta Vigo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 16 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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