⚽ Major League Soccer
Orlando City SC vs DC United Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Orlando City SC vs DC United in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Orlando City SC 4-1 DC United
Orlando City SC vs DC United finished 4-1. Orlando City SC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Orlando City SC face DC United in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Orlando City SC have 3 wins from their last 5, while DC United have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Orlando City SC won 3, DC United won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 2.0-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Orlando City SC vs DC United with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs DC United comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Orlando City SC 0 at odds 1.31, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates an Orlando City SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Orlando City SC and DC United. Wins shown from Orlando City SC’s perspective: Orlando City SC 3 · DC United 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Orlando City SC | 4 – 1 | DC United | W |
| 2026-04-25 | DC United | 3 – 2 | Orlando City SC | L |
| 2024-07-06 | Orlando City SC | 5 – 0 | DC United | W |
| 2024-04-13 | DC United | 2 – 3 | Orlando City SC | W |
| 2023-04-22 | Orlando City SC | 1 – 3 | DC United | L |
📈 Recent form
Orlando City SC come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 14. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to DC United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at Philadelphia Union.
- WOrlando City SC 4-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WOrlando City SC 3-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- LNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
DC United come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to New York Red Bulls. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Orlando City SC.
- LOrlando City SC 4-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 2-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LInter Miami 4-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- LDC United 0-1 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
- DVancouver Whitecaps 3-3 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- G. DorseyBack Injury
- R. JanssonFoot Injury
- T. SpicerFoot Injury
- Vinicius NogueiraShoulder Injury
- L. BartlettSuspended (red card)
- H. KijimaLeg Injury
- L. MunteanuLeg Injury
- G. SegalLeg Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Orlando City SC at 49% to win and DC United at 26%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC Win | 49% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| DC United Win | 26% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Orlando City SC or Draw at 1.18 (74% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC or Draw | 74% | 79% | @ 1.18 |
| DC United or Draw | 51% | 43% | @ 2.15 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 88% | @ 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 | 52% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 12% | @ 8.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Orlando City SC or DC United is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC +1.5 | 90% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Orlando City SC +1.25 | 86% | 86% | 1.11 |
| DC United +2 | 82% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Orlando City SC +1 | 82% | 86% | 1.10 |
| DC United +1.75 | 79% | 69% | @ 1.39 |
| Orlando City SC +0.75 | 78% | 83% | 1.15 |
| DC United +1.5 | 75% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Orlando City SC +0.5 | 74% | 78% | 1.21 |
| DC United +1.25 | 69% | 59% | @ 1.61 |
| Orlando City SC +0.25 | 68% | 75% | 1.26 |
| DC United +1 | 63% | 54% | @ 1.77 |
| Orlando City SC 0 | 61% | 73% | 1.31 |
| DC United +0.75 | 57% | 47% | @ 2.02 |
| Orlando City SC -0.25 | 55% | 64% | 1.49 |
| DC United +0.5 | 51% | 43% | @ 2.24 |
| Orlando City SC -0.5 | 49% | 57% | 1.67 |
| DC United +0.25 | 45% | 36% | @ 2.65 |
| Orlando City SC -0.75 | 43% | 53% | 1.82 |
| DC United 0 | 39% | 27% | @ 3.48 |
| Orlando City SC -1 | 37% | 46% | 2.07 |
| DC United -0.25 | 32% | 25% | @ 3.88 |
| Orlando City SC -1.25 | 31% | 41% | 2.33 |
| DC United -0.5 | 26% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Orlando City SC -1.5 | 25% | 37% | 2.56 |
| DC United -0.75 | 22% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Orlando City SC -1.75 | 21% | 31% | 3.06 |
| DC United -1 | 18% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Orlando City SC -2 | 18% | 25% | 3.70 |
| DC United -1.25 | 14% | 14% | 6.60 |
| DC United -1.5 | 10% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs DC United?
Our pick is Orlando City SC 0 at odds 1.31, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs DC United?
Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.6 scoreline for Orlando City SC vs DC United.
What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs DC United?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.96 for Orlando City SC and 1.63 for DC United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Orlando City SC and DC United play?
Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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