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⚽ Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Orlando City SC face New York City FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Orlando City SC have 2 wins from their last 5, while New York City FC have no wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, New York City FC won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Orlando City SC or Draw @ 1.40

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 1.32 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	7.3%	4.8%	2.1%	0.7%
1	8.7%	11.5%	7.6%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.9%	9.1%	6.0%	2.6%	0.9%
3	3.6%	4.8%	3.2%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.4%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Orlando City SC winDrawNew York City FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Orlando City SC or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Orlando City SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Orlando City SC 44%Draw 33%New York City FC 23%

44%33%23%

44%

Orlando City SC Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Orlando City SC and New York City FC. Wins shown from Orlando City SC’s perspective: 2 drawn · New York City FC 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-07-20	Orlando City SC	1 – 1	New York City FC	D
2024-06-28	New York City FC	4 – 2	Orlando City SC	L
2023-09-20	New York City FC	2 – 0	Orlando City SC	L
2023-05-17	Orlando City SC	1 – 1	New York City FC	D

📈 Recent form

Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 14. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to DC United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at Philadelphia Union.

WOrlando City SC 4-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
WOrlando City SC 3-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
LPhiladelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
LNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer

New York City FC

New York City FC come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Inter Miami.

DNew York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
LInter Miami 2-0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
LChicago Fire 2-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
DAtlanta United FC 2-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
LNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Orlando City SC at 44% to win and New York City FC at 23%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Orlando City SC Win	44%	43%	@ 2.20
Draw	33%	25%	@ 3.80
New York City FC Win	23%	33%	@ 2.88

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Orlando City SC or Draw at 1.40 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Orlando City SC or Draw	73%	67%	@ 1.40
New York City FC or Draw	52%	57%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	84%	@ 1.12
Under 3.5	67%	54%	@ 1.73
Over 2.5	55%	65%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	45%	35%	@ 2.70
Over 3.5	33%	46%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	22%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	66%	@ 1.40
BTTS No	43%	34%	@ 2.75

📈 How the market moved

Orlando City SC 42%Draw 24%New York City FC 33%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

Our model's pick is Orlando City SC or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Orlando City SC and 1.32 for New York City FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Orlando City SC and New York City FC play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.