Sat 12 Sep0-2Finished

⚽ La Liga

Osasuna vs Espanyol Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Osasuna vs Espanyol in the La Liga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Osasuna 0-2 Espanyol

Osasuna vs Espanyol finished 0-2. Espanyol won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.34, landed.

Osasuna face Espanyol in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Osasuna have 2 wins from their last 4, while Espanyol have 1 win from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, Osasuna won 1, Espanyol won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Osasuna win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Osasuna vs Espanyol with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Espanyol +1.25 @ 1.26

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.49 – 1.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.2%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
1	11.0%	12.3%	6.9%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.1%	5.1%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.1%	4.5%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Osasuna winDrawEspanyol win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Osasuna vs Espanyol comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Espanyol with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Osasuna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Osasuna 40%Draw 33%Espanyol 28%

40%33%28%

40%

Osasuna Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Osasuna and Espanyol. Wins shown from Osasuna’s perspective: Osasuna 1 · 1 drawn · Espanyol 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	Osasuna	0 – 2	Espanyol	L
2026-05-17	Osasuna	1 – 2	Espanyol	L
2025-08-31	Espanyol	1 – 0	Osasuna	L
2025-05-18	Osasuna	2 – 0	Espanyol	W
2024-12-14	Espanyol	0 – 0	Osasuna	D

📈 Recent form

Osasuna

Osasuna come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Getafe. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Atlético Madrid.

DOsasuna 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
LAtlético Madrid 4-0 OsasunaLa Liga
LOsasuna 0-2 EspanyolLa Liga
LAlavés 5-2 OsasunaLa Liga
WOsasuna 1-0 GetafeLa Liga

Espanyol

Espanyol come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Osasuna. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Elche.

LEspanyol 1-3 ElcheLa Liga
LRayo Vallecano 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga
WOsasuna 0-2 EspanyolLa Liga
DEspanyol 1-1 SevillaLa Liga
LReal Sociedad 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Osasuna

M. GomezHamstring Injury
J. HerrandoMuscle Injury
A. OrozMuscle Injury
V. RosierHamstring Injury

Espanyol

K. GarciaHamstring Injury
A. GorosabelInjury
J. PuadoKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Osasuna at 40% to win and Espanyol at 28%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes an Osasuna win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Osasuna Win	40%	49%	@ 1.93
Draw	33%	28%	@ 3.40
Espanyol Win	28%	24%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Osasuna or Draw at 1.20 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Osasuna or Draw	69%	76%	@ 1.20
Espanyol or Draw	57%	51%	@ 1.78

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	70%	@ 1.34
Under 3.5	73%	75%	@ 1.25
Under 2.5	52%	54%	@ 1.68
Over 2.5	48%	46%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	27%	25%	@ 3.75
Under 1.5	26%	30%	@ 3.15

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	50%	@ 1.85
BTTS No	48%	50%	@ 1.82

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Osasuna or Espanyol is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Espanyol +2	86%	86%	1.10
Espanyol +1.75	83%	–	1.20
Espanyol +1.5	79%	77%	1.25
Osasuna +1	78%	86%	1.10
Espanyol +1.25	74%	75%	1.26
Osasuna +0.75	74%	–	1.22
Osasuna +0.5	69%	72%	1.32
Espanyol +1	68%	72%	1.32
Espanyol +0.75	63%	63%	1.53
Osasuna +0.25	62%	68%	1.41
Espanyol +0.5	57%	56%	1.70
Osasuna 0	56%	61%	1.56
Espanyol +0.25	50%	49%	@ 1.99
Osasuna -0.25	50%	51%	1.90
Espanyol 0	44%	39%	@ 2.46
Osasuna -0.5	43%	44%	2.19
Espanyol -0.25	38%	32%	@ 2.94
Osasuna -0.75	37%	37%	2.64
Osasuna -1	32%	28%	@ 3.44
Espanyol -0.5	31%	28%	@ 3.42
Osasuna -1.25	26%	25%	@ 3.84
Espanyol -1	22%	14%	@ 6.80
Osasuna -1.5	21%	23%	4.09
Osasuna -2	14%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Osasuna 44%Draw 30%Espanyol 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Osasuna vs Espanyol?

Our model's main pick is Espanyol with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Espanyol?

Our model makes an Osasuna win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for Osasuna vs Espanyol.

What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Espanyol?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Osasuna and 1.12 for Espanyol. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Osasuna and Espanyol play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.