Sat 12 Sep0-0Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Lyon Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Paris FC vs Lyon in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Paris FC 0-0 Lyon

Paris FC vs Lyon finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Lyon or Draw at 1.50, landed.

Paris FC face Lyon in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Paris FC have 3 wins from their last 5, while Lyon have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.5-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Paris FC vs Lyon with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Lyon +0.75 @ 1.39

69%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.54 – 1.62 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	6.9%	5.6%	3.0%	1.2%
1	6.5%	10.6%	8.6%	4.6%	1.9%
2	5.0%	8.1%	6.6%	3.6%	1.4%
3	2.6%	4.2%	3.4%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.0%	1.6%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Paris FC winDrawLyon win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Paris FC vs Lyon comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Lyon with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lyon win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Paris FC 36%Draw 28%Lyon 37%

36%28%37%

37%

Lyon Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Paris FC and Lyon. Wins shown from Paris FC’s perspective: 3 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	Paris FC	0 – 0	Lyon	D
2026-03-08	Lyon	1 – 1	Paris FC	D
2025-10-29	Paris FC	3 – 3	Lyon	D

📈 Recent form

Paris FC

Paris FC come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Nice.

WParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
DParis FC 0-0 LyonLigue 1
WMarseille 2-3 Paris FCLigue 1
WParis FC 3-0 NiceLigue 1
DEstac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCLigue 1

Lyon

Lyon come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Rennes.

WLyon 4-0 RennesLigue 1
WAnderlecht 1-2 LyonUEFA Europa League
DParis FC 0-0 LyonLigue 1
WLyon 3-1 AuxerreLigue 1
DLyon 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Paris FC

T. De SmetNot in squad
E. MbembaNot in squad
OtavioInjury
N. SanguiInjury

Lyon

J. DuranvilleMuscle Injury
A. HamdaniNot in squad
R. HimbertNot in squad
M. OuedraogoNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Paris FC at 36% to win and Lyon at 37%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lyon Win	37%	37%	@ 2.55
Paris FC Win	36%	37%	@ 2.55
Draw	28%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lyon or Draw at 1.50 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lyon or Draw	64%	63%	@ 1.50
Paris FC or Draw	63%	63%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	79%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	61%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 3.5	61%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 3.5	39%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 2.5	39%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	18%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	37%	41%	@ 2.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Paris FC or Lyon is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lyon +1.75	87%	86%	1.11
Paris FC +1.75	86%	86%	1.11
Lyon +1.5	84%	81%	1.17
Paris FC +1.5	83%	81%	1.17
Lyon +1.25	79%	79%	1.19
Paris FC +1.25	78%	79%	1.19
Lyon +1	74%	77%	1.24
Paris FC +1	73%	77%	1.24
Lyon +0.75	69%	69%	1.39
Paris FC +0.75	68%	69%	1.39
Lyon +0.5	64%	63%	1.52
Paris FC +0.5	63%	63%	1.51
Lyon +0.25	57%	57%	1.67
Paris FC +0.25	56%	57%	1.67
Lyon 0	50%	50%	1.94
Paris FC 0	50%	50%	1.93
Lyon -0.25	44%	43%	2.25
Paris FC -0.25	43%	43%	2.24
Lyon -0.5	37%	37%	2.56
Paris FC -0.5	36%	37%	2.56
Lyon -0.75	32%	31%	3.09
Paris FC -0.75	31%	31%	3.08
Lyon -1	27%	23%	@ 4.20
Paris FC -1	26%	23%	@ 4.21
Lyon -1.25	22%	21%	4.50
Paris FC -1.25	21%	21%	4.50
Lyon -1.5	17%	19%	5.00
Paris FC -1.5	16%	19%	5.00
Lyon -1.75	14%	14%	6.60
Paris FC -1.75	13%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

Paris FC 37%Draw 26%Lyon 37%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paris FC vs Lyon?

Our model's main pick is Lyon with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Paris FC vs Lyon?

Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline for Paris FC vs Lyon.

What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Lyon?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.54 for Paris FC and 1.62 for Lyon. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Paris FC and Lyon play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.