⚽ Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers vs Austin Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portland Timbers vs Austin in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 02:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Portland Timbers face Austin in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Portland Timbers have 3 wins from their last 5, while Austin have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Portland Timbers won 2, Austin won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 2.3-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portland Timbers vs Austin with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.48

72%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.26 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.4%	3.5%	2.6%	1.2%	0.5%
1	5.5%	8.0%	5.8%	2.8%	1.0%
2	6.3%	9.1%	6.6%	3.2%	1.2%
3	4.7%	6.8%	5.0%	2.4%	0.9%
4	2.7%	3.9%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%

Projected score: 2-1

Portland Timbers winDrawAustin win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Portland Timbers vs Austin is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.48, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates a Portland Timbers win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points yes (68%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Austin or Draw at odds 2.30 (+16.6% model value).

Best value

Austin or Draw at odds 2.30, 51% model probability, +16.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Portland Timbers 48%Draw 28%Austin 24%

48%28%24%

48%

Portland Timbers Win

72%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

+16.6%

Best value: Austin or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Portland Timbers and Austin. Wins shown from Portland Timbers’s perspective: Portland Timbers 2 · 1 drawn · Austin 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-10-03	Portland Timbers	0 – 1	Austin	L
2024-05-30	Austin	0 – 2	Portland Timbers	W
2023-09-18	Austin	1 – 2	Portland Timbers	W
2023-05-07	Portland Timbers	2 – 2	Austin	D

📈 Recent form

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to San Diego. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Chicago Fire.

DLos Angeles FC 1-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
WPortland Timbers 3-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
LChicago Fire 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
WPortland Timbers 3-1 Club TijuanaLeagues Cup
LPortland Timbers 1-3 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer

Austin

Austin come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Seattle Sounders. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to FC Dallas.

DAustin 1-1 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
WSeattle Sounders 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
LAustin 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
DClub America 1-1 AustinLeagues Cup
LAustin 0-1 Club QueretaroFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Portland Timbers at 48% to win and Austin at 24%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	28%	@ 4.45	+22.7%
Austin Win	24%	@ 4.65	+13.1%
Portland Timbers Win	48%	@ 1.59	-23.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Austin or Draw at 2.30 (51% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Austin or Draw	51%	@ 2.30	+16.6%
Portland Timbers or Draw	74%	@ 1.17	-12.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	51%	@ 2.20	+11.7%
Over 2.5	72%	@ 1.48	+6.0%
Over 1.5	88%	@ 1.14	+0.8%
Under 3.5	49%	@ 1.65	-18.8%
Under 2.5	28%	@ 2.60	-26.2%
Under 1.5	12%	@ 5.50	-36.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	68%	@ 1.53	+3.8%
BTTS No	32%	@ 2.38	-23.4%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portland Timbers vs Austin?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.48, with 72% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Austin or Draw at 2.30 (+16.6% value).

Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers vs Austin?

Our model makes a Portland Timbers win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.4 scoreline for Portland Timbers vs Austin.

What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs Austin?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.26 for Portland Timbers and 1.45 for Austin. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Portland Timbers and Austin play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 02:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.