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⚽ Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

PSV Eindhoven face Feyenoord in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: PSV Eindhoven have 3 wins from their last 5, while Feyenoord have 5 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 2.2-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.30
73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.21 – 1.79 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 1.8% 3.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8%
1 4.0% 7.2% 6.5% 3.9% 1.7%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9%
3 3.3% 5.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
4 1.8% 3.3% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
Projected score: 2-1
PSV Eindhoven winDrawFeyenoord win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (75%).

📊 Key numbers

PSV Eindhoven 41%Draw 26%Feyenoord 33%
41%26%33%
41%
PSV Eindhoven Win
76%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord. Wins shown from PSV Eindhoven’s perspective: PSV Eindhoven 4 · 1 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-02-01 PSV Eindhoven 3 – 0 Feyenoord W
2025-10-26 Feyenoord 2 – 3 PSV Eindhoven W
2025-05-11 Feyenoord 2 – 3 PSV Eindhoven W
2024-12-22 PSV Eindhoven 3 – 0 Feyenoord W
2024-03-03 PSV Eindhoven 2 – 2 Feyenoord D

📈 Recent form

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Heerenveen. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at ADO Den Haag.

  • WFC Porto 0-1 PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League
  • LADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
  • LRB Leipzig 1-0 PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League
  • WPSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenEredivisie
  • LTwente 3-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
Feyenoord

Feyenoord come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 21 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at PEC Zwolle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WTelstar 3-4 FeyenoordEredivisie
  • WFeyenoord 3-2 ComoUEFA Champions League
  • WFeyenoord 2-0 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
  • WFeyenoord 5-0 UtrechtEredivisie
  • WPEC Zwolle 0-7 FeyenoordEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PSV Eindhoven at 41% to win and Feyenoord at 33%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
PSV Eindhoven Win 41% 48% @ 2.00
Feyenoord Win 33% 29% @ 3.25
Draw 26% 23% @ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.36 (67% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
PSV Eindhoven or Draw 67% 71% @ 1.36
Feyenoord or Draw 59% 52% @ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 91% 88% @ 1.08
Over 2.5 76% 73% @ 1.30
Over 3.5 57% 54% @ 1.73
Under 3.5 43% 46% @ 2.00
Under 2.5 24% 27% @ 3.50
Under 1.5 9% 12% @ 8.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 75%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 75% 72% @ 1.30
BTTS No 25% 28% @ 3.40

📈 How the market moved

18%36%53%10/2010/2110/22

PSV Eindhoven 47%Draw 23%Feyenoord 30%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?

Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?

Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.8 scoreline for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord.

What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.21 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.79 for Feyenoord. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.