Wed 2 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Championship

QPR vs Cardiff Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for QPR vs Cardiff in the Championship. Kick-off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: QPR 2-1 Cardiff

QPR vs Cardiff finished 2-1. QPR won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

QPR face Cardiff in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, QPR won 3, Cardiff won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a QPR win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for QPR vs Cardiff with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Cardiff +1.5 @ 1.29

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.59 – 1.35 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	7.1%	4.8%	2.2%	0.7%
1	8.4%	11.3%	7.7%	3.4%	1.2%
2	6.7%	9.0%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.5%	4.8%	3.2%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.4%	1.9%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

QPR winDrawCardiff win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for QPR vs Cardiff comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Cardiff with a +1.5 start at odds 1.29, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a QPR win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

QPR 40%Draw 29%Cardiff 31%

40%29%31%

40%

QPR Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between QPR and Cardiff. Wins shown from QPR’s perspective: QPR 3 · 1 drawn · Cardiff 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-02	QPR	2 – 1	Cardiff	W
2025-04-05	QPR	0 – 0	Cardiff	D
2024-11-27	Cardiff	0 – 2	QPR	W
2024-01-01	QPR	1 – 2	Cardiff	L
2023-08-12	Cardiff	1 – 2	QPR	W

📈 Recent form

QPR

QPR come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Cardiff. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Middlesbrough.

DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
LQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
WQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship

Cardiff

Cardiff come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Charlton. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Bolton.

WCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
LBolton 1-0 CardiffChampionship
DCardiff 1-1 Stoke CityChampionship
LPortsmouth 2-0 CardiffChampionship
LQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

QPR

K. DembeleKnee Injury
B. KemperAnkle Injury

Cardiff

C. ChambersKnee Injury
W. FishHernia
D. LawlorMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices QPR at 40% to win and Cardiff at 31%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a QPR win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
QPR Win	40%	48%	@ 1.93
Cardiff Win	31%	26%	@ 3.65
Draw	29%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is QPR or Draw at 1.27 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
QPR or Draw	68%	74%	@ 1.27
Cardiff or Draw	58%	52%	@ 1.84

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	77%	@ 1.21
Under 3.5	66%	67%	@ 1.38
Over 2.5	56%	54%	@ 1.74
Under 2.5	44%	46%	@ 2.02
Over 3.5	34%	33%	@ 2.85
Under 1.5	21%	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	60%	56%	@ 1.64
BTTS No	40%	44%	@ 2.12

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when QPR or Cardiff is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cardiff +2	86%	84%	1.12
Cardiff +1.75	83%	77%	@ 1.22
Cardiff +1.5	80%	73%	@ 1.29
QPR +1	77%	86%	1.10
Cardiff +1.25	75%	69%	@ 1.38
QPR +0.75	73%	79%	1.19
Cardiff +1	69%	65%	@ 1.46
QPR +0.5	68%	73%	1.28
Cardiff +0.75	64%	57%	@ 1.67
QPR +0.25	61%	69%	1.37
Cardiff +0.5	58%	51%	@ 1.86
QPR 0	55%	65%	1.45
Cardiff +0.25	52%	44%	@ 2.17
QPR -0.25	48%	56%	1.71
Cardiff 0	45%	35%	@ 2.72
QPR -0.5	42%	49%	1.93
Cardiff -0.25	39%	31%	@ 3.11
QPR -0.75	36%	43%	2.23
Cardiff -0.5	32%	27%	@ 3.47
QPR -1	31%	35%	2.75
Cardiff -0.75	27%	21%	@ 4.50
QPR -1.25	25%	31%	3.12
Cardiff -1	23%	14%	@ 6.80
QPR -1.5	20%	27%	3.45
QPR -1.75	17%	23%	4.15
QPR -2	14%	16%	6.00

📈 How the market moved

QPR 49%Draw 25%Cardiff 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for QPR vs Cardiff?

Our model's main pick is Cardiff with a +1.5 start at odds 1.29, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for QPR vs Cardiff?

Our model makes a QPR win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline for QPR vs Cardiff.

What is the predicted score for QPR vs Cardiff?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.59 for QPR and 1.35 for Cardiff. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do QPR and Cardiff play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.