Sat 12 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ La Liga

Racing Santander vs Alavés Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Racing Santander vs Alavés in the La Liga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Racing Santander 2-1 Alavés

Racing Santander vs Alavés finished 2-1. Racing Santander won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.36, landed.

Racing Santander face Alavés in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: Racing Santander have 1 win from their last 4, while Alavés have 3 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Racing Santander win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Racing Santander vs Alavés with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Racing Santander +0.75 @ 1.31

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.07 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	7.3%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
1	11.0%	11.8%	6.3%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.9%	9.5%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.8%	5.1%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Racing Santander winDrawAlavés win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Racing Santander vs Alavés comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Racing Santander with a +0.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Racing Santander win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Racing Santander 40%Draw 29%Alavés 31%

40%29%31%

40%

Racing Santander Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Racing Santander

Racing Santander come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Alavés. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Celta Vigo.

LCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
LBarcelona 7-2 Racing SantanderLa Liga
WRacing Santander 2-1 AlavésLa Liga
LRayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing SantanderLa Liga
WRacing Santander 3-2 ElcheLa Liga

Alavés

Alavés come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Osasuna. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Valencia.

DAthletic Club 0-0 AlavésLa Liga
LAlavés 0-1 ValenciaLa Liga
LRacing Santander 2-1 AlavésLa Liga
WAlavés 5-2 OsasunaLa Liga
WAlavés 1-0 VillarrealLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Racing Santander

S. ErikssonShoulder Injury
A. MartinKnee Injury

Alavés

F. GarcesSuspended
M. RodriguezAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Racing Santander at 40% to win and Alavés at 31%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Racing Santander win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Racing Santander Win	40%	39%	@ 2.43
Alavés Win	31%	34%	@ 2.80
Draw	29%	28%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Racing Santander or Draw at 1.38 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Racing Santander or Draw	68%	66%	@ 1.38
Alavés or Draw	59%	61%	@ 1.49

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	76%	@ 1.23
Under 3.5	72%	69%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	50%	52%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	50%	48%	@ 1.97
Over 3.5	28%	31%	@ 3.05
Under 1.5	25%	24%	@ 3.90

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	57%	@ 1.60
BTTS No	48%	43%	@ 2.14

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Racing Santander or Alavés is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Racing Santander +1.75	89%	86%	1.10
Racing Santander +1.5	86%	83%	1.14
Alavés +1.75	84%	84%	1.12
Racing Santander +1.25	82%	82%	1.16
Alavés +1.5	80%	79%	1.19
Racing Santander +1	77%	–	1.20
Alavés +1.25	75%	77%	1.24
Racing Santander +0.75	72%	73%	1.31
Alavés +1	70%	75%	1.27
Racing Santander +0.5	68%	66%	1.44
Alavés +0.75	64%	67%	1.42
Racing Santander +0.25	61%	61%	1.56
Alavés +0.5	59%	60%	1.59
Racing Santander 0	54%	54%	1.79
Alavés +0.25	52%	55%	1.75
Racing Santander -0.25	48%	45%	@ 2.10
Alavés 0	46%	46%	2.12
Racing Santander -0.5	41%	40%	2.40
Alavés -0.25	39%	39%	2.44
Racing Santander -0.75	36%	33%	@ 2.89
Alavés -0.5	32%	34%	2.82
Racing Santander -1	30%	25%	@ 3.81
Alavés -0.75	28%	27%	3.50
Racing Santander -1.25	25%	23%	@ 4.22
Racing Santander -1.5	20%	21%	4.50
Alavés -1.25	18%	18%	5.25
Racing Santander -1.75	16%	16%	6.00
Alavés -1.5	14%	17%	5.75
Alavés -1.75	11%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Racing Santander 39%Draw 27%Alavés 34%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Alavés?

Our model's main pick is Racing Santander with a +0.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Racing Santander vs Alavés?

Our model makes a Racing Santander win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Racing Santander vs Alavés.

What is the predicted score for Racing Santander vs Alavés?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for Racing Santander and 1.07 for Alavés. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Racing Santander and Alavés play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.