⚽ Premiership

Rangers vs ST Mirren Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rangers vs ST Mirren in the Premiership. Kick-off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Rangers face ST Mirren in the Premiership, kicking off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Rangers have 3 wins from their last 5, while ST Mirren have 4 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a ST Mirren win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.3-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rangers vs ST Mirren with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.73

68%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.32 – 1.54 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	8.8%	6.8%	3.5%	1.3%
1	7.6%	11.6%	9.0%	4.6%	1.8%
2	5.0%	7.7%	5.9%	3.0%	1.2%
3	2.2%	3.4%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.7%	1.1%	0.9%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Rangers winDrawST Mirren win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rangers vs ST Mirren is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.73, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a ST Mirren win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.73, 68% model probability, +17.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Rangers 33%Draw 24%ST Mirren 44%

33%24%44%

44%

ST Mirren Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+17.4%

Best value: Under 3.5

📈 Recent form

Rangers

Rangers come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Motherwell. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at FK Jablonec.

WRangers 1-0 MotherwellPremiership
WFalkirk 1-2 RangersPremiership
WAberdeen 0-1 RangersPremiership
LFK Jablonec 1-0 RangersUEFA Europa Conference
WRangers 1-0 FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference

ST Mirren

ST Mirren come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Kilmarnock. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Celtic.

LST Mirren 1-2 CelticPremiership
WKilmarnock 0-1 ST MirrenPremiership
DST Mirren 3-3 MotherwellPremiership
LRangers 5-1 ST MirrenLeague Cup
WST Mirren 1-0 ST JohnstonePremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rangers at 33% to win and ST Mirren at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a ST Mirren win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
ST Mirren Win	44%	@ 8.50	+270.3%
Draw	24%	@ 5.30	+25.3%
Rangers Win	33%	@ 1.29	-57.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is ST Mirren or Draw at 3.35 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
ST Mirren or Draw	68%	@ 3.35	+129.4%
Rangers or Draw	58%	@ 1.06	-38.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	22%	@ 6.10	+34.8%
Under 2.5	46%	@ 2.85	+29.8%
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.73	+17.4%
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.10	-14.3%
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.40	-23.7%
Over 3.5	32%	@ 2.04	-34.4%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.66	-7.2%
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.06	-9.2%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	51%
Dixon-Coles	Home	42%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.19 for the home side, 1.42 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rangers vs ST Mirren?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.73, with 68% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Rangers vs ST Mirren?

Our model makes a ST Mirren win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline for Rangers vs ST Mirren.

What is the predicted score for Rangers vs ST Mirren?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Rangers and 1.54 for ST Mirren. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rangers and ST Mirren play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 09 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.