Wed 9 Sep1-0Finished

⚽ Premiership

Rangers vs St Mirren Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rangers vs St Mirren in the Premiership. Kick-off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Result: Rangers 1-0 St Mirren

Rangers vs St Mirren finished 1-0. Rangers won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Rangers face St Mirren in the Premiership, kicking off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Rangers have 3 wins from their last 5, while St Mirren have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Rangers won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a St Mirren win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.3-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rangers vs St Mirren with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.73
68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.32 – 1.54 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.7% 8.8% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3%
1 7.6% 11.6% 9.0% 4.6% 1.8%
2 5.0% 7.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2%
3 2.2% 3.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Rangers winDrawSt Mirren win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rangers vs St Mirren comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a St Mirren win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Rangers 33%Draw 24%St Mirren 44%
33%24%44%
44%
St Mirren Win
54%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Rangers and St Mirren. Wins shown from Rangers’s perspective: Rangers 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-09 Rangers 1 – 0 St Mirren W
2026-08-16 Rangers 5 – 1 St Mirren W

📈 Recent form

Rangers

Rangers come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Celtic. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WCeltic 0-1 RangersPremiership
  • WRangers 3-0 CelticLeague Cup
  • WRangers 1-0 St MirrenPremiership
  • WRangers 1-0 MotherwellPremiership
  • WFalkirk 1-2 RangersPremiership
St Mirren

St Mirren come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Kilmarnock. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Dundee Utd.

  • LSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee UtdPremiership
  • LRangers 1-0 St MirrenPremiership
  • LSt Mirren 1-2 CelticPremiership
  • WKilmarnock 0-1 St MirrenPremiership
  • DSt Mirren 3-3 MotherwellPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rangers at 33% to win and St Mirren at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a St Mirren win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
St Mirren Win 44% 11% @ 8.50
Rangers Win 33% 72% @ 1.29
Draw 24% 17% @ 5.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St Mirren or Draw at 3.35 (68% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
St Mirren or Draw 68% 28% @ 3.35
Rangers or Draw 58% 89% @ 1.06

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 78% 85% @ 1.10
Under 3.5 68% 54% @ 1.73
Over 2.5 54% 67% @ 1.40
Under 2.5 46% 33% @ 2.85
Over 3.5 32% 46% @ 2.04
Under 1.5 22% 15% @ 6.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 56% 55% @ 1.66
BTTS No 44% 45% @ 2.06

📈 How the market moved

6%41%76%08/1708/1808/1908/2008/2108/2209/0609/0709/0809/09

Rangers 72%Draw 17%St Mirren 11%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rangers vs St Mirren?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 54%.

Who is the favourite for Rangers vs St Mirren?

Our model makes a St Mirren win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline for Rangers vs St Mirren.

What is the predicted score for Rangers vs St Mirren?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Rangers and 1.54 for St Mirren. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rangers and St Mirren play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 09 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.