⚽ Brazilian Série A

RB Bragantino vs Bahia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for RB Bragantino vs Bahia in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

RB Bragantino face Bahia in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: RB Bragantino have 1 win from their last 5, while Bahia have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, RB Bragantino won 2, Bahia won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for RB Bragantino vs Bahia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

RB Bragantino or Draw @ 1.28

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	7.3%	3.9%	1.3%	0.4%
1	11.3%	11.8%	6.2%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.1%	9.5%	5.0%	1.7%	0.5%
3	4.9%	5.1%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.0%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

RB Bragantino winDrawBahia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for RB Bragantino vs Bahia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is RB Bragantino or Draw at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a RB Bragantino win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

Best value

RB Bragantino Win at odds 2.00, 50% model probability, +0.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

RB Bragantino 50%Draw 29%Bahia 21%

50%29%21%

50%

RB Bragantino Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

+0.0%

Best value: RB Bragantino Win

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between RB Bragantino and Bahia. Wins shown from RB Bragantino’s perspective: RB Bragantino 2 · Bahia 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-09-01	RB Bragantino	2 – 1	Bahia	W
2024-05-12	Bahia	1 – 0	RB Bragantino	L
2023-08-20	Bahia	4 – 0	RB Bragantino	L
2023-04-15	RB Bragantino	2 – 1	Bahia	W

📈 Recent form

RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Gremio. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Sao Paulo.

LSao Paulo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
WRB Bragantino 1-0 GremioBrazilian Série A
DAtletico-MG 2-2 RB BragantinoCONMEBOL Sudamericana
DAtletico Paranaense 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
LRB Bragantino 0-1 Atletico-MGCONMEBOL Sudamericana

Bahia

Bahia come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Vitoria.

WBahia 3-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
WVitoria 0-2 BahiaBrazilian Série A
DChapecoense-sc 3-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
DBahia 0-0 Vasco DA GamaBrazilian Série A
DBahia 1-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

RB Bragantino

Davi GomesKnee Injury
I. PittaSuspended (cards)
A. Sant'AnnaSuspended (cards)
VanderlanKnee Injury
Eduardo SashaNot in squad

Bahia

EveraldoSuspended (red card)
Everton RibeiroNot in squad
Leo VieiraKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices RB Bragantino at 50% to win and Bahia at 21%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	29%	@ 3.45	+0.9%
RB Bragantino Win	50%	@ 2.00	+0.0%
Bahia Win	21%	@ 3.55	-26.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is RB Bragantino or Draw at 1.28 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
RB Bragantino or Draw	77%	@ 1.28	-1.7%
Bahia or Draw	48%	@ 1.78	-15.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	50%	@ 1.91	-3.8%
Under 3.5	72%	@ 1.33	-3.9%
Under 1.5	26%	@ 3.70	-5.3%
Over 1.5	74%	@ 1.26	-6.3%
Over 2.5	50%	@ 1.85	-8.1%
Over 3.5	28%	@ 3.20	-11.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	47%	@ 2.05	-3.5%
BTTS Yes	53%	@ 1.68	-11.1%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	53%
Dixon-Coles	Home	45%
GradientBoosting	Home	50%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.66 for the home side, 1.01 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Bahia?

Our main pick is RB Bragantino or Draw at odds 1.28, with 77% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for RB Bragantino vs Bahia?

Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for RB Bragantino vs Bahia.

What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Bahia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for RB Bragantino and 1.05 for Bahia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do RB Bragantino and Bahia play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.