⚽ Brazilian Série A
RB Bragantino vs Grêmio Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for RB Bragantino vs Grêmio in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: RB Bragantino 1-0 Grêmio
RB Bragantino vs Grêmio finished 1-0. RB Bragantino won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
RB Bragantino face Grêmio in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.6-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for RB Bragantino vs Grêmio with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for RB Bragantino vs Grêmio comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Grêmio with a +1.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a RB Bragantino win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between RB Bragantino and Grêmio. Wins shown from RB Bragantino’s perspective: RB Bragantino 3 · 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | RB Bragantino | 1 – 0 | Grêmio | W |
| 2024-09-15 | RB Bragantino | 2 – 2 | Grêmio | D |
| 2024-06-01 | Grêmio | 0 – 2 | RB Bragantino | W |
| 2023-09-15 | RB Bragantino | 2 – 0 | Grêmio | W |
| 2023-05-07 | Grêmio | 3 – 3 | RB Bragantino | D |
📈 Recent form
RB Bragantino come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Grêmio. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Flamengo.
- LFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- DBotafogo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- LRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
- LSão Paulo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- WRB Bragantino 1-0 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
Grêmio come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Internacional. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Botafogo.
- DGrêmio 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
- LBotafogo 3-2 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
- LGrêmio 1-2 Vasco da GamaBrazilian Série A
- LVitória 1-0 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
- WGrêmio 3-1 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Davi GomesKnee Injury
- Fernando SantosIllness
- VanderlanKnee Injury
- DodiKnee Injury
- Gustavo MartinsInjury
- J. NardoniKnee Injury
- Walter KannemannSuspended (cards)
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices RB Bragantino at 50% to win and Grêmio at 23%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino Win | 50% | 55% | @ 1.71 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| Grêmio Win | 23% | 20% | @ 4.70 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is RB Bragantino or Draw at 1.18 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino or Draw | 76% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Grêmio or Draw | 49% | 45% | @ 2.08 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 77% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 50% | @ 1.87 |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 50% | @ 1.89 |
| Under 1.5 | 30% | 27% | @ 3.55 |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 29% | @ 3.30 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 53% | 49% | @ 1.88 |
| BTTS Yes | 47% | 51% | @ 1.82 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when RB Bragantino or Grêmio is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino +0.75 | 80% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Grêmio +1.75 | 77% | 74% | 1.28 |
| RB Bragantino +0.5 | 76% | 79% | 1.18 |
| Grêmio +1.5 | 73% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| RB Bragantino +0.25 | 70% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Grêmio +1.25 | 67% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| RB Bragantino 0 | 63% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Grêmio +1 | 61% | 58% | 1.64 |
| RB Bragantino -0.25 | 57% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Grêmio +0.75 | 55% | 50% | @ 1.94 |
| RB Bragantino -0.5 | 51% | 56% | 1.69 |
| Grêmio +0.5 | 49% | 44% | @ 2.12 |
| RB Bragantino -0.75 | 45% | 50% | 1.93 |
| Grêmio +0.25 | 43% | 36% | @ 2.61 |
| RB Bragantino -1 | 39% | 42% | 2.29 |
| Grêmio 0 | 37% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| RB Bragantino -1.25 | 33% | 36% | 2.63 |
| Grêmio -0.25 | 30% | 23% | @ 4.16 |
| RB Bragantino -1.5 | 27% | 32% | 2.96 |
| Grêmio -0.5 | 24% | 21% | @ 4.35 |
| RB Bragantino -1.75 | 23% | 26% | 3.67 |
| Grêmio -0.75 | 20% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Grêmio?
Our model's main pick is Grêmio with a +1.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for RB Bragantino vs Grêmio?
Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline for RB Bragantino vs Grêmio.
What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Grêmio?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.59 for RB Bragantino and 0.87 for Grêmio. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do RB Bragantino and Grêmio play?
Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Lask Linzvs
LiverpoolUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct16:45
Feyenoordvs
ComoUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct16:45
Slovan Bratislavavs
VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Shakhtar Donetskvs
AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Manchester Cityvs
Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Bodo/Glimtvs
Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.