⚽ Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 01:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Real Salt Lake face FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 01:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Real Salt Lake won 1, FC Dallas won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.7-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Real Salt Lake or Draw @ 1.30

72%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.73 – 1.61 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	5.7%	4.6%	2.5%	1.0%
1	6.1%	9.9%	7.9%	4.3%	1.7%
2	5.3%	8.5%	6.9%	3.7%	1.5%
3	3.1%	4.9%	4.0%	2.1%	0.9%
4	1.3%	2.1%	1.7%	0.9%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Real Salt Lake winDrawFC Dallas win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Real Salt Lake or Draw at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates a Real Salt Lake win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

Best value

FC Dallas or Draw at odds 1.85, 54% model probability, -0.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Real Salt Lake 47%Draw 23%FC Dallas 29%

47%23%29%

47%

Real Salt Lake Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

-0.3%

Best value: FC Dallas or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Real Salt Lake and FC Dallas. Wins shown from Real Salt Lake’s perspective: Real Salt Lake 1 · 1 drawn · FC Dallas 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-10	FC Dallas	3 – 1	Real Salt Lake	L
2024-09-19	Real Salt Lake	3 – 2	FC Dallas	W
2024-05-26	FC Dallas	3 – 3	Real Salt Lake	D
2023-09-21	Real Salt Lake	1 – 3	FC Dallas	L
2023-04-16	FC Dallas	2 – 1	Real Salt Lake	L

📈 Recent form

Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to FC Juarez. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DReal Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
WReal Salt Lake 3-0 FC JuarezLeagues Cup
DMinnesota United FC 1-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
WReal Salt Lake 2-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
WReal Salt Lake 3-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer

FC Dallas

FC Dallas come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Austin. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Toluca.

WAustin 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
LToluca 3-1 FC DallasLeagues Cup
WColorado Rapids 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
WSan Jose Earthquakes 2-3 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
LFC Dallas 2-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Real Salt Lake

G. DillonFoot Injury
E. EneliKnee Injury
A. PiolAchilles Tendon Injury
Z. BoothHamstring Injury
J. GladGroin Injury
M. GuilavoguiHead Injury

FC Dallas

DanielHamstring Injury
Geovane JesusKnee Injury
A. A. Julio SantosInjury
O. UrhoghideSuspended (cards)
P. DelgadoLeg Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Real Salt Lake at 47% to win and FC Dallas at 29%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Dallas Win	29%	@ 3.50	+3.0%
Draw	23%	@ 3.90	-9.5%
Real Salt Lake Win	47%	@ 1.90	-10.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Dallas or Draw at 1.85 (54% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Dallas or Draw	54%	@ 1.85	-0.3%
Real Salt Lake or Draw	72%	@ 1.30	-6.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.17	-1.0%
Over 2.5	65%	@ 1.50	-2.7%
Over 3.5	43%	@ 2.25	-3.6%
Under 3.5	57%	@ 1.62	-7.4%
Under 2.5	35%	@ 2.55	-10.4%
Under 1.5	15%	@ 5.00	-23.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	65%	@ 1.45	-5.6%
BTTS No	35%	@ 2.55	-11.0%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	46%
Dixon-Coles	Away	42%
GradientBoosting	Home	51%

Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.

Expected goals: 1.50 for the home side, 1.12 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

Our main pick is Real Salt Lake or Draw at odds 1.30, with 72% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.6 scoreline for Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas.

What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.73 for Real Salt Lake and 1.61 for FC Dallas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Real Salt Lake and FC Dallas play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 01:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.