⚽ Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 01:30 UTC.
Result: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Real Salt Lake face Minnesota United FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 01:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, 5 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.8-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Minnesota United FC with a +1.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Real Salt Lake win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC. Wins shown from Real Salt Lake’s perspective: 5 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Real Salt Lake | 1 – 1 | Minnesota United FC | D |
| 2026-05-23 | Minnesota United FC | 1 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | D |
| 2024-10-03 | Real Salt Lake | 0 – 0 | Minnesota United FC | D |
| 2024-04-07 | Minnesota United FC | 1 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | D |
| 2023-06-25 | Real Salt Lake | 2 – 2 | Minnesota United FC | D |
📈 Recent form
Real Salt Lake come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps.
- LReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- LHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LColorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Minnesota United FC come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 17. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Los Angeles Galaxy.
- LMinnesota United FC 2-3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- LSt. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- LMinnesota United FC 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- LPortland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- DMinnesota United FC 3-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- G. DillonFoot Injury
- J. GladGroin Injury
- A. PiolAchilles Tendon Injury
- D. YedlinSuspended (cards)
- A. JacksonNot in squad
- N. RomeroLower-Body Injury
- P. StroudMuscle Injury
- N. TriantisLower-Body Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Real Salt Lake at 47% to win and Minnesota United FC at 28%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake Win | 47% | 54% | @ 1.74 |
| Minnesota United FC Win | 28% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.21 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake or Draw | 72% | 78% | @ 1.21 |
| Minnesota United FC or Draw | 53% | 46% | @ 2.04 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 80% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 58% | @ 1.60 |
| Under 3.5 | 59% | 63% | @ 1.48 |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | 20% | @ 4.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 59% | @ 1.58 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 41% | @ 2.23 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Real Salt Lake or Minnesota United FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake +1.5 | 89% | 88% | 1.05 |
| Minnesota United FC +2 | 84% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Minnesota United FC +1.75 | 80% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Minnesota United FC +1.5 | 77% | – | @ 1.38 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.75 | 76% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.5 | 72% | – | 1.24 |
| Minnesota United FC +1.25 | 71% | 66% | @ 1.46 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.25 | 66% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Minnesota United FC +1 | 65% | 60% | @ 1.58 |
| Real Salt Lake 0 | 59% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Minnesota United FC +0.75 | 59% | 53% | @ 1.79 |
| Minnesota United FC +0.5 | 53% | 46% | @ 2.04 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.25 | 53% | 60% | 1.60 |
| Minnesota United FC +0.25 | 47% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.5 | 47% | 54% | 1.76 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.75 | 41% | 47% | 2.06 |
| Minnesota United FC 0 | 41% | 31% | @ 3.10 |
| Real Salt Lake -1 | 35% | 40% | 2.36 |
| Minnesota United FC -0.25 | 34% | 27% | @ 3.57 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.25 | 29% | 34% | 2.77 |
| Minnesota United FC -0.75 | 24% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.75 | 20% | 26% | 3.71 |
| Real Salt Lake -2 | 16% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Minnesota United FC -1.5 | 11% | 12% | 7.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
Our model's main pick is Minnesota United FC with a +1.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC.
What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.75 for Real Salt Lake and 1.50 for Minnesota United FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC play?
Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 01:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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