Sun 13 Sep0-2Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Real Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FC

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC finished 0-2. New York City FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.30, did not land.

Real Salt Lake face New York City FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Real Salt Lake have no wins from their last 5, while New York City FC have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, New York City FC won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Real Salt Lake or Draw @ 1.30

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.52 – 1.36 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	7.6%	5.2%	2.4%	0.8%
1	8.5%	11.6%	7.9%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.5%	8.8%	6.0%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.3%	4.5%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Real Salt Lake winDrawNew York City FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Real Salt Lake or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Real Salt Lake win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

📊 Key numbers

Real Salt Lake 49%Draw 28%New York City FC 23%

49%28%23%

49%

Real Salt Lake Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Real Salt Lake and New York City FC. Wins shown from Real Salt Lake’s perspective: 1 drawn · New York City FC 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-13	Real Salt Lake	0 – 2	New York City FC	L
2023-06-11	Real Salt Lake	0 – 0	New York City FC	D

📈 Recent form

Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps.

LReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
LReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
LHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
LColorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer

New York City FC

New York City FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Real Salt Lake. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to New York Red Bulls.

LNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
WReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
LNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Real Salt Lake

Z. BoothHamstring Injury
G. DillonFoot Injury
J. GladGroin Injury
S. JunquaConcussion
A. PiolAchilles Tendon Injury
S. SpieringsAnkle Injury

New York City FC

D. BaieraKnee Injury
A. FarnosInjury
M. MoralezKnee Injury
K. ParksInjury
Talles MagnoMuscle Injury
K. TrewinAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Real Salt Lake at 49% to win and New York City FC at 23%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Real Salt Lake Win	49%	47%	@ 1.98
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.75
New York City FC Win	23%	28%	@ 3.35

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.30 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Real Salt Lake or Draw	75%	72%	@ 1.30
New York City FC or Draw	50%	53%	@ 1.79

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	81%	@ 1.15
Under 3.5	67%	60%	@ 1.55
Over 2.5	55%	61%	@ 1.55
Under 2.5	45%	39%	@ 2.40
Over 3.5	33%	40%	@ 2.35
Under 1.5	22%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	42%	38%	@ 2.43

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Real Salt Lake or New York City FC is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Real Salt Lake +1.5	91%	86%	1.10
Real Salt Lake +1.25	87%	86%	1.11
Real Salt Lake +1	83%	84%	1.12
New York City FC +2	81%	86%	1.10
Real Salt Lake +0.75	79%	78%	1.23
New York City FC +1.75	77%	80%	1.18
Real Salt Lake +0.5	75%	72%	1.32
New York City FC +1.5	74%	74%	1.28
Real Salt Lake +0.25	69%	68%	1.41
New York City FC +1.25	68%	72%	1.33
Real Salt Lake 0	63%	63%	1.52
New York City FC +1	62%	69%	1.39
Real Salt Lake -0.25	57%	53%	@ 1.82
New York City FC +0.75	56%	60%	1.59
Real Salt Lake -0.5	50%	46%	@ 2.09
New York City FC +0.5	50%	54%	1.77
Real Salt Lake -0.75	44%	40%	@ 2.41
New York City FC +0.25	43%	47%	2.04
Real Salt Lake -1	38%	31%	@ 3.04
New York City FC 0	37%	37%	2.56
Real Salt Lake -1.25	32%	28%	@ 3.39
New York City FC -0.25	31%	32%	2.96
Real Salt Lake -1.5	26%	26%	3.66
New York City FC -0.5	25%	28%	3.42
Real Salt Lake -1.75	23%	20%	@ 4.65
New York City FC -0.75	21%	22%	4.34
Real Salt Lake -2	19%	14%	@ 7.00
New York City FC -1	17%	16%	@ 6.00
New York City FC -1.25	13%	14%	6.60
New York City FC -1.5	9%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Real Salt Lake 45%Draw 27%New York City FC 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?

Our model's main pick is Real Salt Lake or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?

Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC.

What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Real Salt Lake and 1.36 for New York City FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Real Salt Lake and New York City FC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.