⚽ La Liga
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo in the La Liga. Kick-off Thursday 03 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Real Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Celta Vigo Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at 1.30, landed.
Real Sociedad face Celta Vigo in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Thursday 03 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Real Sociedad have no wins from their last 5, while Celta Vigo have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Real Sociedad won 1, Celta Vigo won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.6-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Celta Vigo Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Celta Vigo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo. Wins shown from Real Sociedad’s perspective: Real Sociedad 1 · 2 drawn · Celta Vigo 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Real Sociedad | 0 – 0 | Celta Vigo | D |
| 2026-01-25 | Real Sociedad | 3 – 1 | Celta Vigo | W |
| 2025-10-19 | Celta Vigo | 1 – 1 | Real Sociedad | D |
| 2025-05-13 | Real Sociedad | 0 – 1 | Celta Vigo | L |
| 2024-12-21 | Celta Vigo | 2 – 0 | Real Sociedad | L |
📈 Recent form
Real Sociedad come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Valencia. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Bournemouth.
- WValencia 2-3 Real SociedadLa Liga
- LReal Sociedad 1-2 BournemouthUEFA Europa League
- LReal Sociedad 0-3 Atlético MadridLa Liga
- WElche 2-3 Real SociedadLa Liga
- DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
Celta Vigo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Racing Santander. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Omonia Nicosia.
- WCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
- LOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
- DCelta Vigo 1-1 MálagaLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- P. MarinInjury
- A. OdriozolaKnee Injury
- A. FebasRibs Injury
- B. IglesiasMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Real Sociedad at 34% to win and Celta Vigo at 35%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo Win | 35% | 23% | @ 4.20 |
| Real Sociedad Win | 34% | 51% | @ 1.86 |
| Draw | 30% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celta Vigo or Draw at 1.92 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo or Draw | 64% | 49% | @ 1.92 |
| Real Sociedad or Draw | 63% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Under 3.5 | 64% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 51% | @ 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 29% | @ 3.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 53% | @ 1.74 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Real Sociedad or Celta Vigo is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo +2 | 89% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Celta Vigo +1.75 | 87% | 78% | @ 1.21 |
| Celta Vigo +1.5 | 84% | – | @ 1.30 |
| Real Sociedad +1.5 | 83% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Celta Vigo +1.25 | 79% | 70% | @ 1.38 |
| Real Sociedad +1.25 | 78% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Celta Vigo +1 | 74% | 65% | @ 1.46 |
| Real Sociedad +1 | 73% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Celta Vigo +0.75 | 69% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Real Sociedad +0.75 | 68% | 80% | 1.20 |
| Celta Vigo +0.5 | 64% | 49% | @ 1.93 |
| Real Sociedad +0.5 | 63% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Celta Vigo +0.25 | 57% | 42% | @ 2.26 |
| Real Sociedad +0.25 | 56% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Celta Vigo 0 | 50% | 33% | @ 2.90 |
| Real Sociedad 0 | 50% | 67% | 1.41 |
| Celta Vigo -0.25 | 44% | 28% | @ 3.44 |
| Real Sociedad -0.25 | 43% | 58% | 1.66 |
| Celta Vigo -0.5 | 37% | 24% | @ 3.86 |
| Real Sociedad -0.5 | 36% | 51% | 1.87 |
| Celta Vigo -0.75 | 32% | 20% | @ 4.81 |
| Real Sociedad -0.75 | 31% | 44% | 2.19 |
| Celta Vigo -1 | 27% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Real Sociedad -1 | 26% | 35% | 2.76 |
| Celta Vigo -1.25 | 22% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Real Sociedad -1.25 | 21% | 30% | 3.14 |
| Celta Vigo -1.5 | 17% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Real Sociedad -1.75 | 13% | 22% | 4.25 |
| Real Sociedad -2 | 11% | 15% | 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo?
Our model's main pick is Celta Vigo Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.
Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo?
Our model makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo.
What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.57 for Real Sociedad and 1.48 for Celta Vigo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo play?
Kick-off is Thursday 03 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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