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⚽ La Liga

Real Sociedad vs Levante Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Sociedad vs Levante in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Real Sociedad face Levante in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Real Sociedad have 4 wins from their last 5, while Levante have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Real Sociedad won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Sociedad win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.9-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Sociedad vs Levante with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.62

62%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.85 – 1.37 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.0%	5.5%	3.7%	1.7%	0.6%
1	7.4%	10.1%	6.9%	3.2%	1.1%
2	6.8%	9.4%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.2%	5.8%	4.0%	1.8%	0.6%
4	2.0%	2.7%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Real Sociedad winDrawLevante win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Real Sociedad vs Levante comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 62% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Real Sociedad win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Real Sociedad 45%Draw 31%Levante 24%

45%31%24%

45%

Real Sociedad Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Real Sociedad and Levante. Wins shown from Real Sociedad’s perspective: Real Sociedad 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-04	Real Sociedad	2 – 0	Levante	W
2025-12-20	Levante	1 – 1	Real Sociedad	D

📈 Recent form

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Málaga. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Bournemouth.

WMálaga 2-5 Real SociedadLa Liga
DUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 Real SociedadUEFA Europa League
WReal Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
WValencia 2-3 Real SociedadLa Liga
LReal Sociedad 1-2 BournemouthUEFA Europa League

Levante

Levante come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Villarreal.

DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 LevanteLa Liga
DLevante 3-3 SevillaLa Liga
LVillarreal 3-1 LevanteLa Liga
LLevante 2-4 BarcelonaLa Liga
DMálaga 0-0 LevanteLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Real Sociedad at 45% to win and Levante at 24%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Real Sociedad win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Real Sociedad Win	45%	55%	@ 1.73
Draw	31%	25%	@ 3.80
Levante Win	24%	20%	@ 4.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Sociedad or Draw at 1.18 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Real Sociedad or Draw	73%	80%	@ 1.18
Levante or Draw	52%	45%	@ 2.05

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	79%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	62%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 3.5	60%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 3.5	40%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 2.5	38%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	17%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	38%	42%	@ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

Real Sociedad 55%Draw 24%Levante 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad vs Levante?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 62% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad vs Levante?

Our model makes a Real Sociedad win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline for Real Sociedad vs Levante.

What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad vs Levante?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.85 for Real Sociedad and 1.37 for Levante. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Real Sociedad and Levante play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.