Sun 25 Oct16:15Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Rennes vs Strasbourg Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rennes vs Strasbourg in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Rennes face Strasbourg in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC. Recent form: Rennes have 3 wins from their last 5, while Strasbourg have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Rennes won 3, Strasbourg won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.0-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rennes vs Strasbourg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.44

69%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.98 – 1.57 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.9%	4.5%	3.5%	1.9%	0.7%
1	5.7%	8.9%	7.0%	3.7%	1.4%
2	5.6%	8.8%	6.9%	3.6%	1.4%
3	3.7%	5.8%	4.6%	2.4%	0.9%
4	1.8%	2.9%	2.3%	1.2%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-1

Rennes winDrawStrasbourg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rennes vs Strasbourg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rennes win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (68%).

📊 Key numbers

Rennes 46%Draw 25%Strasbourg 29%

46%25%29%

46%

Rennes Win

69%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Rennes and Strasbourg. Wins shown from Rennes’s perspective: Rennes 3 · Strasbourg 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-19	Strasbourg	0 – 3	Rennes	W
2025-11-02	Rennes	4 – 1	Strasbourg	W
2025-02-02	Rennes	1 – 0	Strasbourg	W
2024-08-25	Strasbourg	3 – 1	Rennes	L
2024-03-31	Strasbourg	2 – 0	Rennes	L

📈 Recent form

Rennes

Rennes come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Auxerre. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at Paris FC.

LParis FC 4-3 RennesLigue 1
WRennes 2-1 OFIUEFA Europa League
WRennes 4-1 AuxerreLigue 1
LLaval 1-0 RennesFriendlies Clubs
LLyon 4-0 RennesLigue 1

Strasbourg

Strasbourg come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at Estac Troyes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Paris Saint-Germain.

LStrasbourg 1-3 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
LNice 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
LParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
WEstac Troyes 2-6 StrasbourgLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rennes at 46% to win and Strasbourg at 29%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rennes Win	46%	55%	@ 1.73
Strasbourg Win	29%	22%	@ 4.33
Draw	25%	23%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rennes or Draw at 1.20 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rennes or Draw	72%	78%	@ 1.20
Strasbourg or Draw	54%	45%	@ 2.05

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	69%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	53%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	47%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	31%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	13%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	68%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	32%	35%	@ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

Rennes 55%Draw 22%Strasbourg 23%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rennes vs Strasbourg?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Rennes vs Strasbourg?

Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.6 scoreline for Rennes vs Strasbourg.

What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Strasbourg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.98 for Rennes and 1.57 for Strasbourg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rennes and Strasbourg play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.