⚽ Serie A
Sassuolo vs Juventus Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sassuolo vs Juventus in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Sassuolo 3-2 Juventus
Sassuolo vs Juventus finished 3-2. Sassuolo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.26, landed.
Sassuolo face Juventus in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Sassuolo have 1 win from their last 3, while Juventus have 2 wins from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Sassuolo won 2, Juventus won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.0-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sassuolo vs Juventus with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sassuolo vs Juventus comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sassuolo with a +1.75 start at odds 1.32, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Juventus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Sassuolo and Juventus. Wins shown from Sassuolo’s perspective: Sassuolo 2 · 1 drawn · Juventus 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sassuolo | 3 – 2 | Juventus | W |
| 2026-03-21 | Juventus | 1 – 1 | Sassuolo | D |
| 2026-01-06 | Sassuolo | 0 – 3 | Juventus | L |
| 2024-01-16 | Juventus | 3 – 0 | Sassuolo | L |
| 2023-09-23 | Sassuolo | 4 – 2 | Juventus | W |
📈 Recent form
Sassuolo come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Juventus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Monza.
- LMonza 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
- WSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
- DBologna 2-2 SassuoloSerie A
- DSassuolo 1-1 FrosinoneCoppa Italia
- WSassuolo 2-1 TorinoSerie A
Juventus come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Sassuolo.
- WJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
- WJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
- LSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
- DJuventus 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
- WJuventus 2-0 ParmaSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 16 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- D. BolocaMuscle Injury
- F. CandeKnee Injury
- I. KoneBroken Leg
- Y. PazKnee Injury
- E. PieragnoloKnee Injury
- C. VolpatoThigh Injury
- S. WalukiewiczMuscle Injury
- J. BogaMuscle Injury
- J. CabalThigh Injury
- A. CambiasoAnkle Injury
- J. EkhatorMuscle Injury
- M. LocatelliKnee Injury
- W. McKennieMuscle Injury
- A. MilikNot in squad
- K. ThuramKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sassuolo at 22% to win and Juventus at 51%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus Win | 51% | 59% | @ 1.58 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Sassuolo Win | 22% | 17% | @ 5.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Juventus or Draw at 1.11 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus or Draw | 77% | 83% | @ 1.11 |
| Sassuolo or Draw | 48% | 41% | @ 2.20 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Under 3.5 | 71% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | @ 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 49% | @ 1.94 |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 51% | @ 1.81 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 49% | @ 1.86 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sassuolo or Juventus is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus +0.75 | 80% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Sassuolo +2 | 80% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Juventus +0.5 | 77% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Sassuolo +1.75 | 76% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Sassuolo +1.5 | 72% | 66% | @ 1.45 |
| Juventus +0.25 | 71% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Sassuolo +1.25 | 66% | 61% | @ 1.56 |
| Juventus 0 | 64% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Sassuolo +1 | 60% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Juventus -0.25 | 58% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Sassuolo +0.75 | 54% | 48% | @ 2.03 |
| Juventus -0.5 | 52% | 58% | 1.65 |
| Sassuolo +0.5 | 48% | 42% | @ 2.28 |
| Juventus -0.75 | 46% | 52% | 1.84 |
| Sassuolo +0.25 | 42% | 35% | @ 2.75 |
| Juventus -1 | 40% | 45% | 2.13 |
| Sassuolo 0 | 36% | 25% | @ 3.81 |
| Juventus -1.25 | 34% | 39% | 2.46 |
| Sassuolo -0.25 | 29% | 22% | @ 4.37 |
| Juventus -1.5 | 28% | 34% | 2.77 |
| Juventus -1.75 | 24% | 28% | 3.42 |
| Sassuolo -0.5 | 23% | 20% | @ 4.80 |
| Juventus -2 | 20% | 21% | 4.58 |
| Sassuolo -0.75 | 20% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Juventus?
Our model's main pick is Sassuolo with a +1.75 start at odds 1.32, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Sassuolo vs Juventus?
Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.7 scoreline for Sassuolo vs Juventus.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Juventus?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.01 for Sassuolo and 1.72 for Juventus. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sassuolo and Juventus play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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