⚽ Bundesliga
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.
Result: SC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach finished 5-0. SC Freiburg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.57, landed.
SC Freiburg face Borussia Mönchengladbach in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: SC Freiburg have 3 wins from their last 5, while Borussia Mönchengladbach have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, SC Freiburg won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a SC Freiburg win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.9-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Borussia Mönchengladbach with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a SC Freiburg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach. Wins shown from SC Freiburg’s perspective: SC Freiburg 4 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | SC Freiburg | 5 – 0 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | W |
| 2026-02-22 | SC Freiburg | 2 – 1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | W |
| 2025-10-05 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 – 0 | SC Freiburg | D |
| 2025-04-12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 – 2 | SC Freiburg | W |
| 2024-11-30 | SC Freiburg | 3 – 1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | W |
📈 Recent form
SC Freiburg come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Borussia Mönchengladbach. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DEintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
- WSC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
- WSC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
- WSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
- WSC Freiburg 4-1 MotherwellUEFA Europa Conference
Borussia Mönchengladbach come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Schott Mainz. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to FSV Mainz 05.
- LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- LSC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
- LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergBundesliga
- LRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
- WSchott Mainz 0-5 Borussia MönchengladbachDFB Pokal
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
No absentees reported.
- J. CastropShoulder Injury
- D. HashiokaNeck Injury
- Y. KonoplyaKnee Injury
- N. KuhnMuscle Injury
- E. LeopoldKnee Injury
- Z. UnoLacking Match Fitness
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices SC Freiburg at 52% to win and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 22%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a SC Freiburg win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg Win | 52% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach Win | 22% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SC Freiburg or Draw at 1.18 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg or Draw | 77% | 78% | @ 1.18 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw | 47% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 57% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when SC Freiburg or Borussia Mönchengladbach is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg +1.5 | 92% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| SC Freiburg +1 | 84% | 86% | 1.10 |
| SC Freiburg +0.75 | 81% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +2 | 80% | 78% | 1.21 |
| SC Freiburg +0.5 | 77% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.75 | 76% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.5 | 72% | 65% | @ 1.47 |
| SC Freiburg +0.25 | 71% | 76% | 1.26 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.25 | 66% | 61% | @ 1.57 |
| SC Freiburg 0 | 65% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +1 | 60% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| SC Freiburg -0.25 | 59% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.75 | 53% | 49% | @ 2.00 |
| SC Freiburg -0.5 | 53% | 57% | 1.69 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.5 | 47% | 43% | @ 2.21 |
| SC Freiburg -0.75 | 47% | 51% | 1.89 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.25 | 41% | 37% | @ 2.60 |
| SC Freiburg -1 | 40% | 45% | 2.14 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 | 35% | 28% | @ 3.46 |
| SC Freiburg -1.25 | 34% | 39% | 2.44 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.25 | 29% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| SC Freiburg -1.5 | 28% | 35% | 2.73 |
| SC Freiburg -1.75 | 24% | 29% | 3.34 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.5 | 23% | 23% | 4.04 |
| SC Freiburg -2 | 20% | 22% | 4.25 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.75 | 19% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -1 | 16% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -1.5 | 8% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our model's main pick is Borussia Mönchengladbach with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.
Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our model makes a SC Freiburg win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.90 for SC Freiburg and 1.44 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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