⚽ Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders vs Austin Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Seattle Sounders vs Austin in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 01:30 UTC.
Result: Seattle Sounders 1-2 Austin
Seattle Sounders vs Austin finished 1-2. Austin won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Seattle Sounders face Austin in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 01:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Seattle Sounders won 2, Austin won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.8-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Seattle Sounders vs Austin with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Austin comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Seattle Sounders with a +0.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Seattle Sounders win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Seattle Sounders and Austin. Wins shown from Seattle Sounders’s perspective: Seattle Sounders 2 · 1 drawn · Austin 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Seattle Sounders | 1 – 2 | Austin | L |
| 2024-07-14 | Austin | 0 – 1 | Seattle Sounders | W |
| 2024-03-03 | Seattle Sounders | 0 – 0 | Austin | D |
| 2023-08-31 | Austin | 1 – 2 | Seattle Sounders | W |
| 2023-05-18 | Seattle Sounders | 1 – 2 | Austin | L |
📈 Recent form
Seattle Sounders come into this game with 5 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5.
- DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Austin come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Vancouver Whitecaps.
- DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- WVancouver Whitecaps 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 1-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- WPortland Timbers 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- P. ArriolaCalf Injury
- H. DotsonMuscle Injury
- J. FerreiraInjury
- Y. Gomez AndradeMuscle Injury
- J. MorrisMuscle Injury
- N. PetkovicKnee Injury
- C. RoldanCalf Injury
- P. de La VegaCalf Injury
- O. WolffAnkle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Seattle Sounders at 56% to win and Austin at 18%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders Win | 56% | 54% | @ 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
| Austin Win | 18% | 22% | @ 4.30 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.20 (80% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders or Draw | 80% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Austin or Draw | 43% | 46% | @ 2.06 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 44% | @ 2.12 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 22% | @ 4.35 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 56% | @ 1.64 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 44% | @ 2.12 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Seattle Sounders or Austin is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders +0.75 | 84% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Seattle Sounders +0.5 | 80% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Austin +2 | 76% | – | 1.20 |
| Seattle Sounders +0.25 | 74% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Austin +1.75 | 72% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Seattle Sounders 0 | 69% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Austin +1.5 | 68% | 69% | 1.37 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.25 | 63% | 60% | @ 1.59 |
| Austin +1.25 | 61% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.5 | 57% | 53% | @ 1.76 |
| Austin +1 | 55% | 60% | 1.59 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.75 | 51% | 47% | @ 2.04 |
| Austin +0.75 | 49% | 53% | 1.81 |
| Seattle Sounders -1 | 45% | 40% | @ 2.34 |
| Austin +0.5 | 43% | 47% | 2.02 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.25 | 39% | 35% | @ 2.74 |
| Austin +0.25 | 37% | 40% | 2.41 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.5 | 32% | 31% | 3.00 |
| Austin 0 | 31% | 30% | 3.11 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.75 | 28% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
| Austin -0.25 | 26% | 26% | 3.67 |
| Austin -0.5 | 20% | 23% | 3.98 |
| Austin -0.75 | 16% | 17% | 5.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Austin?
Our model's main pick is Seattle Sounders with a +0.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs Austin?
Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline for Seattle Sounders vs Austin.
What is the predicted score for Seattle Sounders vs Austin?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.77 for Seattle Sounders and 0.97 for Austin. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Seattle Sounders and Austin play?
Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 01:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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