⚽ Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Result: Seattle Sounders 1-1 CF Montreal
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Seattle Sounders face CF Montreal in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Seattle Sounders have 4 wins from their last 5, while CF Montreal have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Seattle Sounders won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 1.8-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Seattle Sounders win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points no (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal. Wins shown from Seattle Sounders’s perspective: Seattle Sounders 1 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Seattle Sounders | 1 – 1 | CF Montreal | D |
| 2024-04-07 | Seattle Sounders | 5 – 0 | CF Montreal | W |
📈 Recent form
Seattle Sounders come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at New England Revolution. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at FC Dallas.
- DSeattle Sounders 1-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 1-0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- WNew England Revolution 0-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- WSeattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- WSeattle Sounders 3-1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
CF Montreal come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to FC Cincinnati. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Atlanta United FC.
- DSeattle Sounders 1-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- LCF Montreal 0-3 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LToronto FC 2-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 3-1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. PetkovicKnee Injury
- P. RothrockHamstring Injury
- P. de La VegaCalf Injury
- B. CeballosLower-Body Injury
- T. GillierUpper-Body Injury
- B. HidalgoGroin Injury
- P. OwusuLower-Body Injury
- D. SealyLower-Body Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Seattle Sounders at 66% to win and CF Montreal at 13%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders Win | 66% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Draw | 21% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| CF Montreal Win | 13% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.10 (86% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders or Draw | 86% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| CF Montreal or Draw | 34% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Under 3.5 | 72% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 25% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Seattle Sounders or CF Montreal is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders +0.75 | 89% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Seattle Sounders +0.5 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Seattle Sounders +0.25 | 81% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Seattle Sounders 0 | 76% | – | 1.16 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.25 | 72% | 76% | 1.25 |
| CF Montreal +2 | 68% | 65% | @ 1.47 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.5 | 66% | 70% | 1.36 |
| CF Montreal +1.75 | 63% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| Seattle Sounders -0.75 | 60% | 66% | 1.44 |
| CF Montreal +1.5 | 58% | 53% | @ 1.82 |
| Seattle Sounders -1 | 54% | 62% | 1.54 |
| CF Montreal +1.25 | 52% | 46% | @ 2.08 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.25 | 48% | 54% | 1.76 |
| CF Montreal +1 | 46% | 38% | @ 2.47 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.5 | 42% | 47% | 2.03 |
| CF Montreal +0.75 | 40% | 34% | @ 2.81 |
| Seattle Sounders -1.75 | 37% | 43% | 2.25 |
| CF Montreal +0.5 | 34% | 30% | @ 3.17 |
| Seattle Sounders -2 | 32% | 35% | 2.75 |
| CF Montreal +0.25 | 28% | 24% | @ 3.99 |
| CF Montreal -0.25 | 19% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| CF Montreal -0.5 | 14% | 14% | 7.00 |
| CF Montreal -0.75 | 11% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 54%.
Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal.
What is the predicted score for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.79 for Seattle Sounders and 0.88 for CF Montreal. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal play?
Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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