⚽ Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Sporting Kansas City face Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Sporting Kansas City have 0 wins from their last 5, while Los Angeles FC have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Los Angeles FC won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.2-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.74

65%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.23 – 1.77 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	8.8%	7.8%	4.6%	2.0%
1	6.1%	10.8%	9.6%	5.7%	2.5%
2	3.8%	6.7%	5.9%	3.5%	1.5%
3	1.5%	2.7%	2.4%	1.4%	0.6%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Sporting Kansas City winDrawLos Angeles FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.74, the selection our model is most confident in at 65%. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Sporting Kansas City or Draw at odds 2.38 (+19.0% model value).

Best value

Sporting Kansas City or Draw at odds 2.38, 50% model probability, +19.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Sporting Kansas City 24%Draw 27%Los Angeles FC 49%

24%27%49%

49%

Los Angeles FC Win

58%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

+19.0%

Best value: Sporting Kansas City or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC. Wins shown from Sporting Kansas City’s perspective: 2 drawn · Los Angeles FC 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-10-06	Sporting Kansas City	0 – 3	Los Angeles FC	L
2024-03-10	Los Angeles FC	0 – 0	Sporting Kansas City	D
2023-06-18	Sporting Kansas City	1 – 2	Los Angeles FC	L
2023-05-18	Los Angeles FC	1 – 1	Sporting Kansas City	D

📈 Recent form

Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at FC Dallas.

LFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
LSporting Kansas City 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
LAtlanta United FC 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
DSporting Kansas City 1-1 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
LColorado Rapids 2-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer

Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Colorado Rapids.

DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
DDC United 0-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
DLos Angeles FC 1-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
LColorado Rapids 1-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
LLos Angeles FC 0-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Sporting Kansas City

Z. BassongCalf Injury
J. DavisInjury
I. JamesKnee Injury
O. WolffAnkle Injury
C. HarrisKnee Injury

Los Angeles FC

T. HasalArm Injury
R. PorteousLeg Injury
T. TillmanInjury
E. SeguraLeg Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sporting Kansas City at 24% to win and Los Angeles FC at 49%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Sporting Kansas City Win	24%	@ 5.10	+23.6%
Draw	27%	@ 4.40	+16.8%
Los Angeles FC Win	49%	@ 1.54	-24.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sporting Kansas City or Draw at 2.38 (50% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Sporting Kansas City or Draw	50%	@ 2.38	+19.0%
Los Angeles FC or Draw	75%	@ 1.16	-13.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	20%	@ 6.25	+24.5%
Under 2.5	42%	@ 2.88	+21.9%
Under 3.5	65%	@ 1.74	+12.6%
Over 1.5	80%	@ 1.10	-11.9%
Over 2.5	58%	@ 1.40	-19.2%
Over 3.5	35%	@ 2.02	-28.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	43%	@ 2.50	+7.2%
BTTS Yes	57%	@ 1.47	-16.0%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.74, with 65% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Sporting Kansas City or Draw at 2.38 (+19.0% value).

Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?

Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.23 for Sporting Kansas City and 1.77 for Los Angeles FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.