⚽ Major League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Sporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FC
Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC finished 3-1. Sporting Kansas City won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.74, did not land.
Sporting Kansas City face Los Angeles FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Sporting Kansas City have no wins from their last 5, while Los Angeles FC have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 1, Los Angeles FC won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.3-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sporting Kansas City with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (60%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC. Wins shown from Sporting Kansas City’s perspective: Sporting Kansas City 1 · 2 drawn · Los Angeles FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sporting Kansas City | 3 – 1 | Los Angeles FC | W |
| 2024-10-06 | Sporting Kansas City | 0 – 3 | Los Angeles FC | L |
| 2024-03-10 | Los Angeles FC | 0 – 0 | Sporting Kansas City | D |
| 2023-06-18 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 – 2 | Los Angeles FC | L |
| 2023-05-18 | Los Angeles FC | 1 – 1 | Sporting Kansas City | D |
📈 Recent form
Sporting Kansas City come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Los Angeles FC. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to Philadelphia Union.
- LSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- WSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Los Angeles FC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to New York Red Bulls. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Sporting Kansas City.
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Z. BassongCalf Injury
- O. BlorianChest Injury
- J. DavisInjury
- I. JamesKnee Injury
- O. WolffAnkle Injury
- T. HasalArm Injury
- R. PorteousLeg Injury
- T. TillmanInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sporting Kansas City at 24% to win and Los Angeles FC at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC Win | 49% | 61% | @ 1.54 |
| Draw | 26% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Sporting Kansas City Win | 24% | 18% | @ 5.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles FC or Draw at 1.16 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC or Draw | 75% | 82% | @ 1.16 |
| Sporting Kansas City or Draw | 50% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 85% | @ 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 | 61% | 54% | @ 1.74 |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 46% | @ 2.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 63% | @ 1.47 |
| BTTS No | 40% | 37% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sporting Kansas City or Los Angeles FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City +2 | 81% | 77% | @ 1.24 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.75 | 79% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.75 | 78% | 71% | @ 1.34 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.5 | 75% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.5 | 74% | 65% | @ 1.47 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.25 | 69% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.25 | 68% | 61% | @ 1.57 |
| Los Angeles FC 0 | 63% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1 | 62% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.25 | 56% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.75 | 56% | 50% | @ 1.92 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.5 | 50% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.5 | 50% | 44% | @ 2.20 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.75 | 44% | 50% | 1.94 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.25 | 44% | 36% | @ 2.64 |
| Los Angeles FC -1 | 38% | 45% | 2.14 |
| Sporting Kansas City 0 | 37% | 27% | @ 3.55 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.25 | 32% | 39% | 2.43 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.25 | 31% | 24% | @ 4.02 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.5 | 26% | 35% | 2.73 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.5 | 25% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.75 | 22% | 29% | 3.32 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.75 | 21% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Los Angeles FC -2 | 19% | 23% | 4.08 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?
Our model's main pick is Sporting Kansas City with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.
Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?
Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.9 scoreline for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.29 for Sporting Kansas City and 1.88 for Los Angeles FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Sassuolovs
LazioSerie ASassuolo Asian Handicap +1.25@ 1.30Tue 27 Oct17:30
AS Romavs
CagliariSerie AAS Roma Asian Handicap -0.5@ 1.32Tue 27 Oct19:45
Torinovs
ComoSerie ATorino Asian Handicap +1.75@ 1.33Tue 27 Oct19:45
Beneventovs
CatanzaroSerie BTue 27 Oct18:00
Ascolivs
SampdoriaSerie BTue 27 Oct19:00
Cesenavs
EmpoliSerie BTue 27 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.