⚽ Major League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Sporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake finished 1-3. Real Salt Lake won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Sporting Kansas City face Real Salt Lake in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Sporting Kansas City have 2 wins from their last 5, while Real Salt Lake have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 1, Real Salt Lake won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.7-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| 2 | 3.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Real Salt Lake with a +0.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Real Salt Lake win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points yes (70%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake. Wins shown from Sporting Kansas City’s perspective: Sporting Kansas City 1 · Real Salt Lake 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 – 3 | Real Salt Lake | L |
| 2026-04-04 | Real Salt Lake | 3 – 1 | Sporting Kansas City | L |
| 2024-06-20 | Sporting Kansas City | 3 – 4 | Real Salt Lake | L |
| 2024-05-05 | Real Salt Lake | 1 – 0 | Sporting Kansas City | L |
| 2023-10-08 | Real Salt Lake | 2 – 3 | Sporting Kansas City | W |
📈 Recent form
Sporting Kansas City come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Houston Dynamo. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Real Salt Lake.
- LSporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- LNashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- DSporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- LSeattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- WHouston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Real Salt Lake come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to New England Revolution. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Philadelphia Union.
- WSporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- WReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LSeattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- O. BlorianChest Injury
- Diego BorgesGroin Injury
- L. JohnsenHamstring Injury
- M. MosqueraHamstring Injury
- J. ReynoldsMuscle Injury
- O. WolffMuscle Injury
- J. J. AriasHamstring Injury
- G. DillonFoot Injury
- E. EneliKnee Injury
- L. EngelHamstring Injury
- J. GladGroin Injury
- D. LunaKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sporting Kansas City at 28% to win and Real Salt Lake at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake Win | 46% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Sporting Kansas City Win | 28% | 33% | @ 2.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.40 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake or Draw | 72% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Sporting Kansas City or Draw | 54% | 58% | @ 1.57 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 51% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Under 3.5 | 49% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 12% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 30% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sporting Kansas City or Real Salt Lake is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake +1.75 | 91% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.5 | 89% | 83% | @ 1.15 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.25 | 85% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Real Salt Lake +1 | 80% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.75 | 80% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.5 | 77% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.75 | 76% | 73% | 1.31 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.5 | 72% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.25 | 71% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.25 | 66% | 62% | @ 1.54 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1 | 65% | 72% | 1.33 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.75 | 59% | 64% | 1.49 |
| Real Salt Lake 0 | 59% | 56% | @ 1.71 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.5 | 54% | 58% | 1.66 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.25 | 53% | 48% | @ 2.02 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.25 | 47% | 52% | 1.84 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.5 | 46% | 42% | @ 2.27 |
| Sporting Kansas City 0 | 41% | 44% | 2.17 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.75 | 41% | 36% | @ 2.67 |
| Real Salt Lake -1 | 35% | 28% | @ 3.38 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.25 | 34% | 38% | 2.49 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.25 | 29% | 26% | @ 3.70 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.5 | 28% | 34% | 2.83 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.75 | 24% | 27% | 3.51 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.5 | 23% | 24% | 3.90 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.75 | 20% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Sporting Kansas City -1 | 19% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Sporting Kansas City -1.25 | 15% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Sporting Kansas City -1.5 | 11% | 17% | 5.50 |
| Sporting Kansas City -1.75 | 9% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
Our pick is Real Salt Lake with a +0.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.7-2.0 scoreline for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.73 for Sporting Kansas City and 1.98 for Real Salt Lake. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake play?
Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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