St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: St Johnstone 1-1 Dundee Utd

St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

St Johnstone face Dundee Utd in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: St Johnstone have 2 wins from their last 5, while Dundee Utd have 3 wins from their last 5. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

86%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.13 – 1.37 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0%	4.1%	2.8%	1.3%	0.4%
1	6.4%	8.8%	6.0%	2.8%	0.9%
2	6.9%	9.4%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.9%	6.7%	4.6%	2.1%	0.7%
4	2.6%	3.5%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

St Johnstone winDrawDundee Utd win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 86% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

68%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

St Johnstone

St Johnstone come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Aberdeen. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Celtic.

DSt Johnstone 1-1 Dundee UtdPremiership
WAberdeen 0-1 St JohnstonePremiership
DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LSt Johnstone 0-1 CelticPremiership
WSt Johnstone 2-1 HibernianPremiership

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at St Mirren. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Motherwell.

DSt Johnstone 1-1 Dundee UtdPremiership
WDundee Utd 1-0 HibernianPremiership
WSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee UtdPremiership
DDundee Utd 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LMotherwell 3-0 Dundee UtdPremiership

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St Johnstone or Draw at 1.50 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
St Johnstone or Draw	77%	63%	@ 1.50
Dundee Utd or Draw	47%	64%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	76%	@ 1.25
Over 2.5	68%	53%	@ 1.80
Under 3.5	54%	68%	@ 1.40
Over 3.5	46%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 2.5	32%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	14%	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	34%	42%	@ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

St Johnstone 36%Draw 27%Dundee Utd 37%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?

Our model's pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

What is the predicted score for St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.13 for St Johnstone and 1.37 for Dundee Utd. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St Johnstone and Dundee Utd play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.