⚽ Major League Soccer

St. Louis City vs FC Dallas Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 23:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

St. Louis City face FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 23:00 UTC. Recent form: St. Louis City have 3 wins from their last 5, while FC Dallas have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, St. Louis City won 1, FC Dallas won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.6-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Dallas or Draw @ 1.85

64%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 1.75 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.6%	6.3%	5.5%	3.2%	1.4%
1	5.7%	9.9%	8.7%	5.1%	2.2%
2	4.5%	7.8%	6.8%	4.0%	1.7%
3	2.4%	4.1%	3.6%	2.1%	0.9%
4	0.9%	1.6%	1.4%	0.8%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

St. Louis City winDrawFC Dallas win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is FC Dallas or Draw at odds 1.85, the selection our model is most confident in at 64%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Dallas win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

Best value

FC Dallas or Draw at odds 1.85, 64% model probability, +18.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

St. Louis City 37%Draw 25%FC Dallas 38%

37%25%38%

38%

FC Dallas Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

+18.2%

Best value: FC Dallas or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between St. Louis City and FC Dallas. Wins shown from St. Louis City’s perspective: St. Louis City 1 · 2 drawn · FC Dallas 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-12	FC Dallas	1 – 1	St. Louis City	D
2024-06-16	FC Dallas	2 – 0	St. Louis City	L
2024-04-07	St. Louis City	0 – 0	FC Dallas	D
2023-08-31	St. Louis City	2 – 1	FC Dallas	W
2023-06-08	FC Dallas	2 – 0	St. Louis City	L

📈 Recent form

St. Louis City

St. Louis City come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Austin. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSt. Louis City 2-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
DSporting Kansas City 1-1 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
WSan Jose Earthquakes 1-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
WSt. Louis City 3-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
DDC United 1-1 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer

FC Dallas

FC Dallas come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Real Salt Lake. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Vancouver Whitecaps.

LVancouver Whitecaps 5-0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
WReal Salt Lake 3-4 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
WAustin 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
LToluca 3-1 FC DallasLeagues Cup
WColorado Rapids 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St. Louis City at 37% to win and FC Dallas at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Dallas Win	38%	@ 3.50	+34.2%
Draw	25%	@ 3.85	-5.0%
St. Louis City Win	37%	@ 1.90	-29.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Dallas or Draw at 1.85 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Dallas or Draw	64%	@ 1.85	+18.2%
St. Louis City or Draw	62%	@ 1.28	-20.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	65%	@ 1.55	+0.2%
Over 3.5	43%	@ 2.35	+0.2%
Over 1.5	84%	@ 1.18	-0.3%
Under 3.5	57%	@ 1.57	-9.9%
Under 2.5	35%	@ 2.40	-15.2%
Under 1.5	16%	@ 4.75	-26.4%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	64%	@ 1.50	-4.4%
BTTS No	36%	@ 2.40	-12.9%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?

Our main pick is FC Dallas or Draw at odds 1.85, with 64% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?

Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas.

What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.58 for St. Louis City and 1.75 for FC Dallas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St. Louis City and FC Dallas play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 23:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.