Sun 30 Aug3-3Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

St. Louis City vs FC Dallas Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 23:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: St. Louis City 3-3 FC Dallas

St. Louis City vs FC Dallas finished 3-3. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

St. Louis City face FC Dallas in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 23:00 UTC. Recent form: St. Louis City have 3 wins from their last 5, while FC Dallas have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, St. Louis City won 1, FC Dallas won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a St. Louis City win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.8-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Dallas +1.5 @ 1.30

83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.77 – 1.68 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	5.3%	4.5%	2.5%	1.1%
1	5.6%	9.4%	7.9%	4.4%	1.9%
2	5.0%	8.4%	7.0%	3.9%	1.7%
3	2.9%	4.9%	4.1%	2.3%	1.0%
4	1.3%	2.2%	1.8%	1.0%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

St. Louis City winDrawFC Dallas win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Dallas with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a St. Louis City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

St. Louis City 39%Draw 25%FC Dallas 36%

39%25%36%

39%

St. Louis City Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between St. Louis City and FC Dallas. Wins shown from St. Louis City’s perspective: St. Louis City 1 · 3 drawn · FC Dallas 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	St. Louis City	3 – 3	FC Dallas	D
2026-04-12	FC Dallas	1 – 1	St. Louis City	D
2024-06-16	FC Dallas	2 – 0	St. Louis City	L
2024-04-07	St. Louis City	0 – 0	FC Dallas	D
2023-08-31	St. Louis City	2 – 1	FC Dallas	W

📈 Recent form

St. Louis City

St. Louis City come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Colorado Rapids. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSt. Louis City 3-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
WColorado Rapids 0-3 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
WSt. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
DPortland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
WVancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer

FC Dallas

FC Dallas come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Portland Timbers.

DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
WFC Dallas 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
WMinnesota United FC 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
WFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
DSt. Louis City 3-3 FC DallasMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

St. Louis City

P. AultAnkle Injury
Celio PompeuKnee Injury
K. HiebertHip Injury
B. McSorleyAnkle Injury
T. OstrakMuscle Injury

FC Dallas

DanielHamstring Injury
Geovane JesusKnee Injury
A. A. Julio SantosInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St. Louis City at 39% to win and FC Dallas at 36%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a St. Louis City win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
St. Louis City Win	39%	49%	@ 1.89
FC Dallas Win	36%	26%	@ 3.65
Draw	25%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St. Louis City or Draw at 1.27 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
St. Louis City or Draw	65%	74%	@ 1.27
FC Dallas or Draw	62%	51%	@ 1.87

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	81%	@ 1.16
Over 2.5	67%	60%	@ 1.55
Under 3.5	55%	61%	@ 1.54
Over 3.5	45%	39%	@ 2.40
Under 2.5	33%	40%	@ 2.35
Under 1.5	14%	19%	@ 4.90

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	34%	38%	@ 2.40

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when St. Louis City or FC Dallas is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Dallas +2	88%	84%	1.12
FC Dallas +1.75	86%	78%	@ 1.21
FC Dallas +1.5	83%	–	@ 1.30
St. Louis City +1.25	80%	86%	1.10
FC Dallas +1.25	78%	70%	@ 1.35
St. Louis City +1	75%	85%	1.12
FC Dallas +1	72%	66%	@ 1.45
St. Louis City +0.75	70%	78%	1.21
FC Dallas +0.75	67%	58%	@ 1.64
St. Louis City +0.5	65%	72%	1.30
FC Dallas +0.5	62%	51%	@ 1.83
St. Louis City +0.25	58%	68%	1.40
FC Dallas +0.25	55%	45%	@ 2.10
St. Louis City 0	51%	63%	1.50
FC Dallas 0	49%	37%	@ 2.59
St. Louis City -0.25	45%	55%	1.75
FC Dallas -0.25	42%	32%	@ 3.02
St. Louis City -0.5	38%	49%	1.94
FC Dallas -0.5	35%	28%	@ 3.40
St. Louis City -0.75	33%	42%	2.29
FC Dallas -0.75	30%	22%	@ 4.25
St. Louis City -1	28%	34%	2.79
FC Dallas -1	25%	15%	@ 6.25
St. Louis City -1.25	22%	30%	3.18
FC Dallas -1.25	20%	14%	@ 6.80
St. Louis City -1.75	14%	22%	4.25
St. Louis City -2	12%	16%	6.00

📈 How the market moved

St. Louis City 48%Draw 25%FC Dallas 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?

Our model's main pick is FC Dallas with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.

Who is the favourite for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?

Our model makes a St. Louis City win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.7 scoreline for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas.

What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.77 for St. Louis City and 1.68 for FC Dallas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St. Louis City and FC Dallas play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 23:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.