vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
St. Louis City face Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: St. Louis City have 3 wins from their last 5, while Minnesota United FC have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, St. Louis City won 1, Minnesota United FC won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a St. Louis City win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.7-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.60, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a St. Louis City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (68%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between St. Louis City and Minnesota United FC. Wins shown from St. Louis City’s perspective: St. Louis City 1 · Minnesota United FC 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-20 | Minnesota United FC | 4 – 1 | St. Louis City | L |
| 2024-09-15 | St. Louis City | 1 – 3 | Minnesota United FC | L |
| 2023-09-24 | Minnesota United FC | 1 – 2 | St. Louis City | W |
| 2023-04-02 | St. Louis City | 0 – 1 | Minnesota United FC | L |
📈 Recent form
St. Louis City come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Vancouver Whitecaps. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WVancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- DSt. Louis City 3-3 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- WSt. Louis City 2-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- DSporting Kansas City 1-1 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- WSan Jose Earthquakes 1-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
Minnesota United FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at San Jose Earthquakes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 4-5 at Portland Timbers.
- LPortland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- DMinnesota United FC 3-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WSan Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- LMinnesota United FC 1-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Celio PompeuKnee Injury
- K. HiebertHip Injury
- P. AultAnkle Injury
- B. McSorleyLacking Match Fitness
- B. HlongwaneKnee Injury
- P. StroudMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices St. Louis City at 41% to win and Minnesota United FC at 36%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a St. Louis City win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC Win | 36% | @ 3.40 | +20.6% |
| Draw | 24% | @ 3.65 | -13.6% |
| St. Louis City Win | 41% | @ 1.98 | -19.1% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Minnesota United FC or Draw at 1.79 (60% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC or Draw | 60% | @ 1.79 | +8.3% |
| St. Louis City or Draw | 66% | @ 1.29 | -15.0% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 46% | @ 2.55 | +18.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | @ 1.60 | +9.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | @ 1.18 | +2.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 54% | @ 1.49 | -20.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | @ 2.28 | -27.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | @ 4.60 | -38.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 68% | @ 1.53 | +4.0% |
| BTTS No | 32% | @ 2.35 | -24.7% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.60, with 68% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?
Our model makes a St. Louis City win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline for St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC.
What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.73 for St. Louis City and 1.78 for Minnesota United FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do St. Louis City and Minnesota United FC play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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