Sat 24 Oct14:00Upcoming

⚽ Premiership

St Mirren vs Dundee Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St Mirren vs Dundee in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

St Mirren face Dundee in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: St Mirren have no wins from their last 5, while Dundee have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dundee win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.1-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St Mirren vs Dundee with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.62

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.05 – 1.52 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	11.6%	8.8%	4.5%	1.7%
1	8.0%	12.2%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	4.2%	6.4%	4.9%	2.5%	0.9%
3	1.5%	2.2%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

St Mirren winDrawDundee win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St Mirren vs Dundee comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Dundee win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (51%).

📊 Key numbers

St Mirren 27%Draw 24%Dundee 49%

27%24%49%

49%

Dundee Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

St Mirren

St Mirren come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Aberdeen.

LAberdeen 3-1 St MirrenPremiership
LHeart Of Midlothian 5-0 St MirrenPremiership
LSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee UtdPremiership
LRangers 1-0 St MirrenPremiership
LSt Mirren 1-2 CelticPremiership

Dundee

Dundee come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Falkirk. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Heart Of Midlothian.

DDundee 2-2 RangersPremiership
WFalkirk 1-2 DundeePremiership
WDundee 2-1 MotherwellPremiership
LHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 DundeePremiership
DDundee 1-1 St JohnstonePremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St Mirren at 27% to win and Dundee at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Dundee win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dundee Win	49%	31%	@ 3.00
St Mirren Win	27%	44%	@ 2.10
Draw	24%	25%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dundee or Draw at 1.70 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dundee or Draw	73%	56%	@ 1.70
St Mirren or Draw	52%	69%	@ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	59%	@ 1.62
Over 1.5	73%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 2.5	53%	40%	@ 2.38
Over 2.5	47%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 1.5	27%	19%	@ 5.00
Over 3.5	26%	41%	@ 2.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	38%	@ 2.50
BTTS Yes	49%	62%	@ 1.50

📈 How the market moved

St Mirren 43%Draw 25%Dundee 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Mirren vs Dundee?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for St Mirren vs Dundee?

Our model makes a Dundee win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.5 scoreline for St Mirren vs Dundee.

What is the predicted score for St Mirren vs Dundee?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.05 for St Mirren and 1.52 for Dundee. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St Mirren and Dundee play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.