⚽ Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

St. Truiden face RAAL La Louvière in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: St. Truiden have 1 win from their last 3, while RAAL La Louvière have 0 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a St. Truiden win the most likely result at 70%, projecting a 2.3-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

81%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.26 – 0.80 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	3.8%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
1	10.6%	8.5%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%
2	12.0%	9.6%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
3	9.0%	7.2%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%
4	5.1%	4.1%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

St. Truiden winDrawRAAL La Louvière win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a St. Truiden win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 70%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points no (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a St. Truiden win at odds 1.64 (+14.6% model value).

Best value

St. Truiden Win at odds 1.64, 70% model probability, +14.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

St. Truiden 70%Draw 19%RAAL La Louvière 11%

70%19%11%

70%

St. Truiden Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

+14.6%

Best value: St. Truiden Win

📈 Recent form

St. Truiden

St. Truiden come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Antwerp. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Union St. Gilloise.

LSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
LOmonia Nicosia 4-2 St. TruidenUEFA Europa League
WSt. Truiden 1-0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League
DCercle Brugge 3-3 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League

RAAL La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Standard Liege.

DRAAL La Louvière 2-2 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
LStandard Liege 2-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
LRAAL La Louvière 1-2 GentJupiler Pro League
LAnderlecht 2-1 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
DEintracht Braunschweig 0-0 RAAL La LouvièreFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St. Truiden at 70% to win and RAAL La Louvière at 11%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a St. Truiden win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
St. Truiden Win	70%	@ 1.64	+14.6%
Draw	19%	@ 3.80	-27.3%
RAAL La Louvière Win	11%	@ 5.00	-45.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St. Truiden or Draw at 1.16 (88% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
St. Truiden or Draw	88%	@ 1.16	+2.5%
RAAL La Louvière or Draw	30%	@ 2.18	-35.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	37%	@ 3.15	+15.3%
Over 2.5	59%	@ 1.83	+8.0%
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.25	+1.2%
Under 3.5	63%	@ 1.34	-15.1%
Under 2.5	41%	@ 1.92	-21.3%
Under 1.5	19%	@ 3.80	-27.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	51%	@ 1.89	-4.4%
BTTS Yes	49%	@ 1.79	-11.5%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	72%
Dixon-Coles	Home	68%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 2.21 for the home side, 0.76 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a St. Truiden win at 1.64 (+14.6% value).

Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?

Our model makes a St. Truiden win the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 2.3-0.8 scoreline for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière.

What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.26 for St. Truiden and 0.80 for RAAL La Louvière. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.