Sat 5 Sep4-0Finished

⚽ Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Result: St. Truiden 4-0 RAAL La Louvière

St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière finished 4-0. St. Truiden won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

St. Truiden face RAAL La Louvière in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: St. Truiden have 1 win from their last 3, while RAAL La Louvière have no wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a St. Truiden win the most likely result at 70%, projecting a 2.3-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.25
81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.26 – 0.80 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.6% 8.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
2 12.0% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
3 9.0% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
4 5.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 2-0
St. Truiden winDrawRAAL La Louvière win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a St. Truiden win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 70%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points no (51%).

📊 Key numbers

St. Truiden 70%Draw 19%RAAL La Louvière 11%
70%19%11%
70%
St. Truiden Win
59%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

St. Truiden

St. Truiden come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to KVC Westerlo.

  • LSt. Truiden 0-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
  • LSK Beveren 2-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
  • WSt. Truiden 4-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • LSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • WAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
RAAL La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Kortrijk. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at OH Leuven.

  • LOH Leuven 2-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • WRAAL La Louvière 3-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
  • LSt. Truiden 4-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • DRAAL La Louvière 2-2 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
  • LStandard Liège 2-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St. Truiden at 70% to win and RAAL La Louvière at 11%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a St. Truiden win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
St. Truiden Win 70% 57% @ 1.64
Draw 19% 25% @ 3.80
RAAL La Louvière Win 11% 19% @ 5.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St. Truiden or Draw at 1.16 (88% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
St. Truiden or Draw 88% 81% @ 1.16
RAAL La Louvière or Draw 30% 43% @ 2.18

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 81% 75% @ 1.25
Under 3.5 63% 70% @ 1.34
Over 2.5 59% 51% @ 1.83
Under 2.5 41% 49% @ 1.92
Over 3.5 37% 30% @ 3.15
Under 1.5 19% 25% @ 3.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 51% 49% @ 1.89
BTTS Yes 49% 51% @ 1.79

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when St. Truiden or RAAL La Louvière is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
St. Truiden +0.75 90% 86% 1.10
St. Truiden +0.5 88% 81% @ 1.17
St. Truiden +0.25 84% 79% @ 1.21
St. Truiden 0 79% 76% 1.25
St. Truiden -0.25 75% 66% @ 1.43
St. Truiden -0.5 70% 59% @ 1.61
RAAL La Louvière +2 64% – 1.22
St. Truiden -0.75 64% 54% @ 1.78
RAAL La Louvière +1.75 59% 71% 1.34
St. Truiden -1 58% 46% @ 2.06
RAAL La Louvière +1.5 54% 64% 1.48
St. Truiden -1.25 52% 40% @ 2.37
RAAL La Louvière +1.25 48% 60% 1.60
St. Truiden -1.5 46% 36% @ 2.67
RAAL La Louvière +1 42% 54% 1.78
St. Truiden -1.75 41% 29% @ 3.23
RAAL La Louvière +0.75 36% 46% 2.08
RAAL La Louvière +0.5 30% 41% 2.34
RAAL La Louvière +0.25 25% 34% 2.83
RAAL La Louvière 0 21% 24% 3.98
RAAL La Louvière -0.25 16% 21% 4.51
RAAL La Louvière -0.5 12% 19% 5.00
RAAL La Louvière -0.75 10% 14% 6.80

📈 How the market moved

15%38%62%09/0209/0309/0409/05

St. Truiden 58%Draw 24%RAAL La Louvière 19%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?

Our model makes a St. Truiden win the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 2.3-0.8 scoreline for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière.

What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.26 for St. Truiden and 0.80 for RAAL La Louvière. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.