vs
⚽ Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Result: St. Truiden 0-3 Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise finished 0-3. Union St. Gilloise won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Union St. Gilloise DC X2 at 1.30, landed.
St. Truiden face Union St. Gilloise in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: St. Truiden have 1 win from their last 5, while Union St. Gilloise have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, St. Truiden won 1, Union St. Gilloise won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.0-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Union St. Gilloise DC X2 at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Union St. Gilloise to win at odds 1.90 (+2.5% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between St. Truiden and Union St. Gilloise. Wins shown from St. Truiden’s perspective: St. Truiden 1 · 1 drawn · Union St. Gilloise 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | St. Truiden | 0 – 3 | Union St. Gilloise | L |
| 2026-05-02 | St. Truiden | 2 – 1 | Union St. Gilloise | W |
| 2026-04-04 | Union St. Gilloise | 1 – 0 | St. Truiden | L |
| 2025-02-02 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 – 1 | St. Truiden | L |
| 2024-08-25 | St. Truiden | 0 – 0 | Union St. Gilloise | D |
📈 Recent form
St. Truiden come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Antwerp. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Union St. Gilloise.
- LSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- WAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
- LOmonia Nicosia 4-2 St. TruidenUEFA Europa League
- WSt. Truiden 1-0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League
- DCercle Brugge 3-3 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Union St. Gilloise come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at KVC Westerlo.
- WSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
- WUnion St. Gilloise 3-0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- DUnion St. Gilloise 0-0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- DBodo/Glimt 2-2 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Champions League
- WKVC Westerlo 1-5 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices St. Truiden at 21% to win and Union St. Gilloise at 54%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise Win | 54% | @ 1.88 | +0.6% |
| Draw | 25% | @ 3.65 | -8.1% |
| St. Truiden Win | 21% | @ 3.80 | -19.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Union St. Gilloise or Draw at 1.25 (78% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise or Draw | 78% | @ 1.25 | -2.4% |
| St. Truiden or Draw | 46% | @ 1.88 | -13.7% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 48% | @ 2.02 | -2.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | @ 1.38 | -3.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | @ 4.00 | -4.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | @ 1.23 | -6.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | @ 1.75 | -9.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | @ 2.95 | -12.4% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 47% | @ 2.10 | -1.1% |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | @ 1.63 | -13.7% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when St. Truiden or Union St. Gilloise is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise -2 | 21% | @ 6.25 | +33.6% |
| Union St. Gilloise -1 | 42% | @ 2.69 | +12.7% |
| Union St. Gilloise -1.25 | 36% | @ 3.04 | +8.6% |
| Union St. Gilloise -1.75 | 26% | @ 4.25 | +8.5% |
| Union St. Gilloise -0.75 | 48% | @ 2.17 | +4.4% |
| St. Truiden -1 | 15% | @ 7.00 | +3.6% |
| Union St. Gilloise -0.5 | 54% | @ 1.90 | +2.5% |
| Union St. Gilloise -0.25 | 60% | 1.67 | +0.0% |
| Union St. Gilloise -1.5 | 30% | 3.35 | -0.6% |
| Union St. Gilloise +0.5 | 78% | 1.26 | -1.3% |
| Union St. Gilloise +1.25 | 89% | 1.10 | -2.4% |
| Union St. Gilloise 0 | 66% | 1.46 | -3.5% |
| Union St. Gilloise +0.75 | 82% | 1.18 | -3.7% |
| Union St. Gilloise +0.25 | 72% | 1.33 | -4.1% |
| Union St. Gilloise +1 | 85% | 1.10 | -6.3% |
| St. Truiden -0.25 | 28% | 3.36 | -6.3% |
| St. Truiden +1.5 | 70% | 1.31 | -8.1% |
| St. Truiden +1.75 | 74% | 1.21 | -9.9% |
| St. Truiden +0.25 | 40% | 2.24 | -10.6% |
| St. Truiden +1.25 | 64% | 1.39 | -10.7% |
| St. Truiden +0.75 | 52% | 1.70 | -11.6% |
| St. Truiden -0.75 | 18% | 4.80 | -11.9% |
| St. Truiden +2 | 79% | 1.12 | -11.9% |
| St. Truiden +0.5 | 46% | 1.88 | -13.9% |
| St. Truiden +1 | 58% | 1.48 | -14.3% |
| St. Truiden -1.25 | 11% | 7.00 | -21.3% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our main pick is Union St. Gilloise DC X2 at odds 1.30, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Union St. Gilloise to win at 1.90 (+2.5% value).
Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.7 scoreline for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.01 for St. Truiden and 1.74 for Union St. Gilloise. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do St. Truiden and Union St. Gilloise play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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