⚽ Ligue 1
Brest vs Nice Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brest vs Nice in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Friday 23 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Brest face Nice in the Ligue 1, kicking off Friday 23 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Brest have 2 wins from their last 5, while Nice have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Brest won 1, Nice won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Brest win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brest vs Nice with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Brest vs Nice comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Brest or Draw at odds 1.36, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Brest win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (57%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Brest and Nice. Wins shown from Brest’s perspective: Brest 1 · 2 drawn · Nice 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Nice | 2 – 2 | Brest | D |
| 2025-09-20 | Brest | 4 – 1 | Nice | W |
| 2025-05-17 | Nice | 6 – 0 | Brest | L |
| 2024-11-02 | Brest | 0 – 1 | Nice | L |
| 2024-02-04 | Brest | 0 – 0 | Nice | D |
📈 Recent form
Brest come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Angers. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Auxerre.
- DLille 1-1 BrestLigue 1
- WBrest 5-1 AngersLigue 1
- DBrest 2-2 MonzaFriendlies Clubs
- LAuxerre 2-1 BrestLigue 1
- LBrest 0-1 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
Nice come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Strasbourg. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Lyon.
- LLyon 2-1 NiceLigue 1
- WNice 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
- WNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
- LAuxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
- DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- B. ChardonnetCalf Injury
- R. Le GuenBroken Leg
- G. VersiniLeg Injury
- L. AbergelKnee Injury
- M. BombitoLeg Injury
- A. MendyKnee Injury
- M. SansonKnee Injury
- A. AbdiMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Brest at 41% to win and Nice at 26%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Brest win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest Win | 41% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Nice Win | 26% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brest or Draw at 1.36 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest or Draw | 70% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Nice or Draw | 55% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 43% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brest vs Nice?
Our model's pick is Brest or Draw at odds 1.36, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for Brest vs Nice?
Our model makes a Brest win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Brest vs Nice.
What is the predicted score for Brest vs Nice?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Brest and 1.23 for Nice. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Brest and Nice play?
Kick-off is Friday 23 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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