⚽ Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Stade Brestois 29 face Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Stade Brestois 29 have 1 win from their last 5, while Paris Saint Germain have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Paris Saint Germain win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.1-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.73

61%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 2.22 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	7.6%	8.5%	6.3%	3.5%
1	4.0%	8.8%	9.7%	7.2%	4.0%
2	2.3%	5.0%	5.6%	4.1%	2.3%
3	0.9%	1.9%	2.1%	1.6%	0.9%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-2

Stade Brestois 29 winDrawParis Saint Germain win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.73, the selection our model is most confident in at 61%. On the match result, the model rates a Paris Saint Germain win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

Best value

BTTS Yes at odds 1.73, 61% model probability, +4.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Stade Brestois 29 16%Draw 28%Paris Saint Germain 55%

16%28%55%

55%

Paris Saint Germain Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

+4.9%

Best value: BTTS Yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Stade Brestois 29 and Paris Saint Germain. Wins shown from Stade Brestois 29’s perspective: Paris Saint Germain 5.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-10	Paris Saint Germain	1 – 0	Stade Brestois 29	L
2025-10-25	Stade Brestois 29	0 – 3	Paris Saint Germain	L
2025-02-19	Paris Saint Germain	7 – 0	Stade Brestois 29	L
2025-02-11	Stade Brestois 29	0 – 3	Paris Saint Germain	L
2025-02-01	Stade Brestois 29	2 – 5	Paris Saint Germain	L

📈 Recent form

Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Le Havre. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Nottingham Forest.

WLe Havre 1-2 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
DStade Brestois 29 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
LNottingham Forest 2-0 Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs
DStade Brestois 29 2-2 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at home to Slovan Bratislava. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Monaco.

WParis Saint Germain 6-1 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League
LParis Saint Germain 1-2 MonacoLigue 1
DLille 2-2 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
DParis Saint Germain 2-2 RennesLigue 1
LLens 1-0 Paris Saint GermainTrophée des Champions

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Stade Brestois 29

R. CagnonShoulder Injury
B. ChardonnetCalf Injury
M. DiambouAnkle Injury

Paris Saint Germain

A. LongoniMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Stade Brestois 29 at 16% to win and Paris Saint Germain at 55%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Paris Saint Germain win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	28%	@ 5.50	+55.8%
Stade Brestois 29 Win	16%	@ 8.50	+40.3%
Paris Saint Germain Win	55%	@ 1.30	-28.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Stade Brestois 29 or Draw at 3.35 (42% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Stade Brestois 29 or Draw	42%	@ 3.35	+41.1%
Paris Saint Germain or Draw	81%	@ 1.06	-14.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.12	-4.8%
Over 2.5	65%	@ 1.45	-5.1%
Under 3.5	56%	@ 1.67	-5.6%
Under 2.5	35%	@ 2.70	-6.7%
Over 3.5	44%	@ 2.14	-6.9%
Under 1.5	15%	@ 5.80	-12.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	61%	@ 1.73	+4.9%
BTTS No	39%	@ 2.02	-20.5%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.73, with 61% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our model makes a Paris Saint Germain win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.1-2.2 scoreline for Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain.

What is the predicted score for Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Stade Brestois 29 and 2.22 for Paris Saint Germain. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Stade Brestois 29 and Paris Saint Germain play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.